{ "ticker": { "uuid": "54ecdef5-c3e1-4ad8-b72d-83793817d9cc", "symbol": "AGRITECH", "name": "Agri-tech (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.494, "architecture_energy": 31.679, "architecture_maturity": 20.172, "architecture_confidence": 85.192, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.88, "rotation_up": 14.95, "upward_expansion": 3.08, "deceleration": 47.23, "rotation_down": 54.67, "downward_expansion": 76.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 110.660666, 112.340545, 112.998429, 113.629678 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 111.400002, "trend_reference": 117.528667, "distance_from_trend": -0.052146, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 167.449744, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.334726, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.953971, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.187277, "excess_performance": -0.143567, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052146, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068866, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.334726, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004301, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10954, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040725, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.187277, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.090348, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18961, "relative_activity": 0.878178, "balance": 2.090348, "dry_up": 0.594244, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075521, "annualized_volatility": 0.466233, "from_high_reference": -0.404883, "from_low_reference": 0.204064 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 117.528667, "fair_value_reference": 167.449744, "structural_low": 92.519997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.00859, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.025077, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.380419, "worst_return": -0.19987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.027823, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010124, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.767745, "worst_return": -0.350248, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.038489, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043393, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.88517, "worst_return": -0.244348, "sufficient": 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24334.8, "trend": 121.992001, "fair_value": 167.903462, "relative_strength": -12.443936, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.607699, "energy": 24.871787, "activity_lines": [ 112.741335, 114.223637, 113.461382, 115.538108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 110.589996, "volume": 13010, "typical_volume": 24559.6, "trend": 120.329334, "fair_value": 167.836731, "relative_strength": -9.486094, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.517848, "energy": 26.792465, "activity_lines": [ 111.702666, 113.655636, 113.329143, 114.802495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 109.629997, "volume": 11354, "typical_volume": 21191.2, "trend": 118.879334, "fair_value": 167.631154, "relative_strength": -12.101821, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.329609, "energy": 35.203557, "activity_lines": [ 110.705332, 112.865636, 113.097095, 114.112215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.400002, "volume": 18961, "typical_volume": 21591.3, "trend": 117.528667, "fair_value": 167.449744, "relative_strength": -10.953971, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.494269, "energy": 31.678606, "activity_lines": [ 110.660666, 112.340545, 112.998429, 113.629678 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }