{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5501d0fe-b323-4b49-aa72-a0910489f2b0", "symbol": "E50EUA", "name": "UBS Core EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF EUR dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.728, "architecture_energy": 73.485, "architecture_maturity": 32.072, "architecture_confidence": 83.418, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 61.59, "upward_expansion": 85.02, "deceleration": 55.69, "rotation_down": 22.49, "downward_expansion": 14.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.342666, 64.849454, 63.378905, 62.187176 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 66.849998, "trend_reference": 61.029259, "distance_from_trend": 0.095376, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.097236, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30829, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.586665, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.112163, "excess_performance": -0.058729, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.095376, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039323, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30829, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088204, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025867, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037065, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.112163, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.836814, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5724, "relative_activity": 0.209936, "balance": 7.836814, "dry_up": 0.622647, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022358, "annualized_volatility": 0.170292, "from_high_reference": -0.003132, "from_low_reference": 0.259327 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.029259, "fair_value_reference": 51.097236, "structural_low": 54.060001, 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-2.958227, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.219294, "energy": 69.573916, "activity_lines": [ 64.402, 64.004182, 62.458381, 61.509971 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.040001, "volume": 32015, "typical_volume": 29259.0, "trend": 60.803866, "fair_value": 50.933042, "relative_strength": -2.475177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.128249, "energy": 57.472265, "activity_lines": [ 64.621334, 64.294727, 62.850762, 61.797103 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.849998, "volume": 5724, "typical_volume": 27265.45, "trend": 61.029259, "fair_value": 51.097236, "relative_strength": -2.586665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.727504, "energy": 73.484862, "activity_lines": [ 65.342666, 64.849454, 63.378905, 62.187176 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }