{ "ticker": { "uuid": "55162301-35bc-42c9-a860-6f4844338248", "symbol": "688613", "name": "Allgens Medical Technology CO., LTD.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.803, "architecture_energy": 59.621, "architecture_maturity": 76.57, "architecture_confidence": 93.273, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.08, "rotation_up": 26.24, "upward_expansion": 10.86, "deceleration": 60.03, "rotation_down": 52.46, "downward_expansion": 81.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.518986, 14.724106, 16.130705, 17.596043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.45, "trend_reference": 19.477407, "distance_from_trend": -0.206773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.542557, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.166782, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.665392, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.322071, "excess_performance": -0.278867, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.206773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089188, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.166782, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.258979, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.246654, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153779, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.322071, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.430576, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13718728, "relative_activity": 1.160104, "balance": 0.430576, "dry_up": 1.50224, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099989, "annualized_volatility": 0.462656, "from_high_reference": -0.482932, "from_low_reference": 0.196395 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.477407, "fair_value_reference": 18.542557, "structural_low": 12.913792, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.034931, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.684211, "median_excess_return": -0.023664, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.257862, "worst_return": -0.179612, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.09989, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.044094, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.282101, "worst_return": -0.313529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.030556, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.004193, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.52594, "worst_return": -0.322393, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-34.893175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.103487, "energy": 70.05995, "activity_lines": [ 14.360761, 14.935018, 16.7725, 18.235342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.141301, "volume": 12808104, "typical_volume": 12057213.5, "trend": 19.639407, "fair_value": 18.596907, "relative_strength": -29.494568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.38392, "energy": 63.982361, "activity_lines": [ 14.2238, 14.667238, 16.36562, 17.866328 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.45, "volume": 13718728, "typical_volume": 11825429.25, "trend": 19.477407, "fair_value": 18.542557, "relative_strength": -24.665392, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.803164, "energy": 59.620781, "activity_lines": [ 14.518986, 14.724106, 16.130705, 17.596043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }