{ "ticker": { "uuid": "55176d66-bf76-4bc3-b5e4-1cb77372ac9a", "symbol": "GESHIP", "name": "The Great Eastern Shipping Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.124, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.406, "architecture_energy": 29.219, "architecture_maturity": 12.657, "architecture_confidence": 38.72, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.53, "rotation_up": 17.54, "upward_expansion": 18.95, "deceleration": 54.61, "rotation_down": 55.31, "downward_expansion": 46.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 1359.255253, 1386.397506, 1426.530237, 1422.651832 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1341.800049, "trend_reference": 1387.902394, "distance_from_trend": -0.033217, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1053.693256, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273426, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.529763, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.060283, "excess_performance": 0.103992, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033217, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083292, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273426, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.320379, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.085298, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.372562, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060283, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.949868, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12886624, "relative_activity": 2.891996, "balance": 1.949868, "dry_up": 1.066698, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103604, "annualized_volatility": 0.399639, "from_high_reference": -0.248603, "from_low_reference": 0.484553 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1387.902394, "fair_value_reference": 1053.693256, "structural_low": 1265.909034, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.001337, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024508, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.073058, "worst_return": -0.087817, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.116781, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.092082, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.201078, "worst_return": -0.252928, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.067437, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.051469, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.204501, "worst_return": -0.069628, "sufficient": false }, { 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"volume": 1820196, "typical_volume": 4000432.75, "trend": 1378.891538, "fair_value": 1049.529375, "relative_strength": 9.611276, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.482732, "energy": 26.994081, "activity_lines": [ 1373.358356, 1399.329256, 1436.312825, 1425.044831 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1341.800049, "volume": 12886624, "typical_volume": 4455961.4, "trend": 1387.902394, "fair_value": 1053.693256, "relative_strength": 8.529763, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.406083, "energy": 29.219244, "activity_lines": [ 1359.255253, 1386.397506, 1426.530237, 1422.651832 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }