{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "55194250-8d31-4342-81ad-670eb7bfaa9b",
    "symbol": "300326",
    "name": "Shanghai Kinetic Medical Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 80.437,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -31.945,
    "architecture_energy": 41.713,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.494,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.292,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.25,
        "rotation_up": 20.99,
        "upward_expansion": 14.91,
        "deceleration": 49.16,
        "rotation_down": 58.85,
        "downward_expansion": 54.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.850667,
        5.928796,
        6.194615,
        6.258201
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.14,
    "trend_reference": 6.256847,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.018675,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.745133,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.068731,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.787348,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.035413,
    "excess_performance": 0.028013,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018675,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014739,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068731,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159047,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017873,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021107,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035413,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.70293,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30902252,
      "relative_activity": 1.004675,
      "balance": 0.70293,
      "dry_up": 0.930765,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072484,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.318165,
      "from_high_reference": -0.148362,
      "from_low_reference": 0.203922
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.256847,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.745133,
      "structural_low": 5.1,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.043147,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022479,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.053554,
        "worst_return": -0.245704,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.039504,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015205,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.053265,
        "worst_return": 0.025742,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.045487,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.148845,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.013746,
        "worst_return": -0.077228,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.030625,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.211861,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.16272,
        "worst_return": -0.223969,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.173585,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.096573,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.24055,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.389522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085106,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047535,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.074523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.063764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00995,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040625,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 32230610.95,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 31882281,
        "typical_volume": 31814755.0,
        "trend": 6.239514,
        "fair_value": 5.750807,
        "relative_strength": -10.088481,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -51.625393,
        "energy": 46.13891,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.74,
        "volume": 23616676,
        "typical_volume": 30782770.8,
        "trend": 6.241514,
        "fair_value": 5.74672,
        "relative_strength": -3.772938,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.346671,
        "energy": 53.997568,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.14,
        "volume": 30902252,
        "typical_volume": 30758453.4,
        "trend": 6.256847,
        "fair_value": 5.745133,
        "relative_strength": -1.787348,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.945319,
        "energy": 41.712546,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}