{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5528b28a-6798-4c19-a35b-ec0712771ce8", "symbol": "300097", "name": "Dalian Zhiyun Automation Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -11.475, "architecture_energy": 31.623, "architecture_maturity": 11.835, "architecture_confidence": 53.03, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.01, "rotation_up": 20.15, "upward_expansion": 22.37, "deceleration": 51.25, "rotation_down": 58.72, "downward_expansion": 49.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.218, 8.421091, 8.980619, 8.966194 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.41, "trend_reference": 8.770333, "distance_from_trend": 0.072935, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.05641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.333539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.864252, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.22526, "excess_performance": 0.217861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072935, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087996, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.333539, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.339442, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.208643, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227261, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.22526, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.077504, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69043263, "relative_activity": 1.161818, "balance": 1.077504, "dry_up": 0.957492, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132592, "annualized_volatility": 0.659687, "from_high_reference": -0.244177, "from_low_reference": 0.885772 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.770333, "fair_value_reference": 7.05641, "structural_low": 6.2, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.056566, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.023065, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.111248, "worst_return": -0.022654, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.100938, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.163021, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.01105, "worst_return": -0.155556, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.232634, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.206526, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.034343, "worst_return": -0.456354, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.334807, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.106736, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.526839, "worst_return": -0.360864, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.0563, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.221364, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.077899, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016162, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.049713, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062241, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021484, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.067925, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.1125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.21129, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.23199, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.092381, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.23395, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.197201, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 6.6, "volume": 49696655, "typical_volume": 29162293.7, "trend": 6.088667, "fair_value": 8.196346, "relative_strength": 10.259483, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.183635, "energy": 46.698386, 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"typical_volume": 56105910.8, "trend": 8.642, "fair_value": 7.031859, "relative_strength": -4.220424, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.699811, "energy": 45.306095, "activity_lines": [ 8.276667, 8.791273, 9.231619, 9.04529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.86, "volume": 70877182, "typical_volume": 57673929.8, "trend": 8.676, "fair_value": 7.040385, "relative_strength": 6.016572, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.066532, "energy": 48.925111, "activity_lines": [ 8.015333, 8.546182, 9.107667, 8.994839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.52, "volume": 48568400, "typical_volume": 58149369.8, "trend": 8.698, "fair_value": 7.038526, "relative_strength": 2.527108, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.009823, "energy": 56.408908, "activity_lines": [ 7.750667, 8.284909, 8.95281, 8.920258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.41, "volume": 69043263, "typical_volume": 59426934.25, "trend": 8.770333, "fair_value": 7.05641, "relative_strength": 20.864252, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.475396, "energy": 31.623479, "activity_lines": [ 8.218, 8.421091, 8.980619, 8.966194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }