{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "55313b50-7289-4fc9-9eb2-6164a186ce51",
    "symbol": "CRON",
    "name": "Cronos Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.506,
    "architecture_energy": 59.837,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.606,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.424,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.58,
        "rotation_up": 63.48,
        "upward_expansion": 84.78,
        "deceleration": 47.06,
        "rotation_down": 14.93,
        "downward_expansion": 11.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.905333,
        2.85,
        2.784429,
        2.731742
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.1,
    "trend_reference": 2.678,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.15758,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.291538,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.352803,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.684236,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.174242,
    "excess_performance": -0.013211,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15758,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019673,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.352803,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204181,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026842,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161447,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174242,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.868284,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11807307,
      "relative_activity": 1.803789,
      "balance": 3.868284,
      "dry_up": 0.92055,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067806,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.240459,
      "from_high_reference": -0.09621,
      "from_low_reference": 0.359649
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.678,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.291538,
      "structural_low": 2.38,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.007784,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028564,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.292079,
        "worst_return": -0.168269,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.039653,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00179,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.311558,
        "worst_return": -0.10728,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.178787,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007501,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.176245,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.210857,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.088496,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.38806,
        "worst_return": 0.033654,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -3.099347,
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6303816.3,
        "trend": 2.654667,
        "fair_value": 2.270256,
        "relative_strength": -3.313283,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 34.281392,
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          2.790667,
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          2.715476,
          2.682602
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.81,
        "volume": 4432897,
        "typical_volume": 6246928.35,
        "trend": 2.659667,
        "fair_value": 2.276474,
        "relative_strength": -1.257286,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.320174,
        "energy": 38.743684,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.799333,
          2.781818,
          2.729905,
          2.692624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.83,
        "volume": 4506771,
        "typical_volume": 6204565.4,
        "trend": 2.664,
        "fair_value": 2.282756,
        "relative_strength": -1.362432,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.064021,
        "energy": 33.425885,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.808,
          2.792182,
          2.745095,
          2.703613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.1,
        "volume": 11807307,
        "typical_volume": 6545837.45,
        "trend": 2.678,
        "fair_value": 2.291538,
        "relative_strength": 2.684236,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.506493,
        "energy": 59.836878,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.905333,
          2.85,
          2.784429,
          2.731742
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}