{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5548504c-cf1a-4cff-ad26-67c5a221f316",
    "symbol": "IBCZ",
    "name": "iShares STOXX World Equity Multifactor UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.987,
    "architecture_energy": 74.921,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.105,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.879,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.04,
        "rotation_up": 70.15,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 58.88,
        "rotation_down": 26.14,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.090667,
        13.962,
        13.665419,
        13.324163
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 14.368,
    "trend_reference": 12.912733,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.1127,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.718043,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340543,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.757305,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.18022,
    "excess_performance": 0.11558,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1127,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050926,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.340543,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069119,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067573,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032552,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18022,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.63345,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 164002,
      "relative_activity": 2.845933,
      "balance": 3.63345,
      "dry_up": 1.447799,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017186,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.10421,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004435,
      "from_low_reference": 0.284233
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.912733,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.718043,
      "structural_low": 11.63,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.011218,
        "positive_rate": 0.609756,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.609756,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006297,
        "regime_survival": 0.829268,
        "best_return": 0.082203,
        "worst_return": -0.066511,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.022942,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.122383,
        "worst_return": -0.076878,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.063566,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027118,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.069881,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009049,
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        "worst_return": 0.003392,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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        "return": 0.005214,
        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 88681.5,
        "trend": 12.141357,
        "fair_value": 10.22671,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 56023.05,
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        "relative_strength": 6.993423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 55200.7,
        "trend": 12.65,
        "fair_value": 10.572851,
        "relative_strength": 10.629975,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.789361,
        "energy": 88.55632,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.882,
        "volume": 83767,
        "typical_volume": 56181.85,
        "trend": 12.714,
        "fair_value": 10.608235,
        "relative_strength": 10.406325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.742148,
        "energy": 83.391278,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.8608,
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          13.372219,
          13.067794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.996,
        "volume": 39468,
        "typical_volume": 54029.95,
        "trend": 12.7792,
        "fair_value": 10.643581,
        "relative_strength": 9.702768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.38708,
        "energy": 80.531952,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.920267,
          13.811455,
          13.468095,
          13.150503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.946,
        "volume": 46491,
        "typical_volume": 52944.1,
        "trend": 12.843067,
        "fair_value": 10.679498,
        "relative_strength": 6.745739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.062595,
        "energy": 67.22501,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.9452,
          13.853309,
          13.551019,
          13.225781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.368,
        "volume": 164002,
        "typical_volume": 57626.8,
        "trend": 12.912733,
        "fair_value": 10.718043,
        "relative_strength": 6.757305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.987351,
        "energy": 74.920917,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.090667,
          13.962,
          13.665419,
          13.324163
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}