{ "ticker": { "uuid": "554e376c-b3b0-4e7b-9ee3-f23b4d0530d8", "symbol": "ORIN", "name": "Orian Sh.M. Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.505, "architecture_energy": 70.43, "architecture_maturity": 69.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.904, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.43, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 26.71, "deceleration": 48.76, "rotation_down": 46.15, "downward_expansion": 72.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.871333, 22.693818, 487.210286, 989.669161 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 22.9, "trend_reference": 1622.133333, "distance_from_trend": -0.985883, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2059.57196, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.988881, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.969562, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.992117, "excess_performance": -1.021017, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.985883, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.330924, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.988881, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.986896, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.989696, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.649174, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.992117, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.531972, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10544, "relative_activity": 0.382276, "balance": 0.531972, "dry_up": 0.581081, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.823614, "annualized_volatility": 6.23527, "from_high_reference": -0.992723, "from_low_reference": 0.076634 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1622.133333, "fair_value_reference": 2059.57196, 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"activity_lines": [ 22.638, 246.070909, 996.451429, 1459.016559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.99, "volume": 4206, "typical_volume": 26475.8, "trend": 1885.162667, "fair_value": 2105.332928, "relative_strength": -99.053709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.480652, "energy": 66.853584, "activity_lines": [ 22.85, 132.143818, 848.851, 1333.459161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.09, "volume": 17502, "typical_volume": 26006.1, "trend": 1799.265667, "fair_value": 2089.947152, "relative_strength": -99.086411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.110244, "energy": 65.86524, "activity_lines": [ 22.707333, 58.326, 714.803, 1213.260925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.13, "volume": 31858, "typical_volume": 27147.05, "trend": 1712.436667, "fair_value": 2075.04226, "relative_strength": -98.987222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.941466, "energy": 62.730314, "activity_lines": [ 22.872, 22.604727, 594.439333, 1098.671527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.9, "volume": 10544, "typical_volume": 27582.2, "trend": 1622.133333, "fair_value": 2059.57196, "relative_strength": -98.969562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.505152, "energy": 70.429782, "activity_lines": [ 22.871333, 22.693818, 487.210286, 989.669161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }