{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5557709a-00b4-4dc8-9be8-eb705a6e4bed", "symbol": "UHAL", "name": "U-Haul Holding Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.317, "architecture_energy": 73.093, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.34, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 81.58, "upward_expansion": 90.15, "deceleration": 50.78, "rotation_down": 13.29, "downward_expansion": 12.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.282, 69.829636, 64.047857, 60.194602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 75.27, "trend_reference": 56.576, "distance_from_trend": 0.330423, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.927692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.21545, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.562389, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.507812, "excess_performance": 0.382188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.330423, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097604, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.21545, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.355529, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.205624, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.36037, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.507812, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.736111, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1044800, "relative_activity": 0.92938, "balance": 1.736111, "dry_up": 0.780541, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058943, "annualized_volatility": 0.368416, "from_high_reference": -0.015435, "from_low_reference": 0.794493 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.576, "fair_value_reference": 61.927692, "structural_low": 41.945, "invalidation": "A sustained 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61.739936, "relative_strength": 19.984643, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.84671, "energy": 87.961962, "activity_lines": [ 69.774, 66.742, 60.977286, 57.931935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.91, "volume": 771426, "typical_volume": 1155195.5, "trend": 55.893667, "fair_value": 61.822115, "relative_strength": 17.762057, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.829792, "energy": 73.614943, "activity_lines": [ 70.43, 68.065455, 62.364571, 58.944516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.27, "volume": 1044800, "typical_volume": 1124190.2, "trend": 56.576, "fair_value": 61.927692, "relative_strength": 20.562389, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.316722, "energy": 73.093093, "activity_lines": [ 72.282, 69.829636, 64.047857, 60.194602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }