{ "ticker": { "uuid": "555c560f-abe2-4bd0-b22c-f11e5b84bdb8", "symbol": "300903", "name": "Guangdong Kingshine Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.702, "architecture_energy": 26.173, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.455, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.63, "rotation_up": 19.24, "upward_expansion": 49.69, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 45.14, "downward_expansion": 27.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.833334, 72.711637, 71.461238, 63.741075 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 72.330002, "trend_reference": 52.698333, "distance_from_trend": 0.372529, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.830705, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.056486, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 99.220737, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.563076, "excess_performance": 1.555676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.372529, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.600751, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.056486, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.669587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.992207, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.502368, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.563076, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.093751, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 187752014, "relative_activity": 1.543708, "balance": 1.093751, "dry_up": 1.237826, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.260611, "annualized_volatility": 1.218537, "from_high_reference": -0.364355, "from_low_reference": 6.02233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.698333, "fair_value_reference": 17.830705, "structural_low": 26.389999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.047503, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.003483, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.083113, "worst_return": -0.134823, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.100874, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.103274, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.092348, "worst_return": -0.109399, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.187932, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.098315, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.390501, "worst_return": -0.014638, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 83.669334, 83.497091, 71.978286, 61.779635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.779999, "volume": 144470301, "typical_volume": 124614428.95, "trend": 50.000333, "fair_value": 17.212564, "relative_strength": 82.924507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.203882, "energy": 22.848798, "activity_lines": [ 73.883334, 79.679819, 71.96781, 62.568215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.779999, "volume": 142929366, "typical_volume": 119481107.65, "trend": 50.930333, "fair_value": 17.43359, "relative_strength": 40.03596, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.719284, "energy": 21.705704, "activity_lines": [ 62.150666, 73.576546, 70.513238, 62.360452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.330002, "volume": 187752014, "typical_volume": 121624057.6, "trend": 52.698333, "fair_value": 17.830705, "relative_strength": 99.220737, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.702166, "energy": 26.172651, "activity_lines": [ 62.833334, 72.711637, 71.461238, 63.741075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }