{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "555feb7d-9aef-4c62-a5a7-784dbbbfc681",
    "symbol": "BLOK",
    "name": "First Trust Indxx Innovative Transaction & Process UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.413,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.711,
    "architecture_energy": 54.566,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.933,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.877,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.27,
        "rotation_up": 52.83,
        "upward_expansion": 81.76,
        "deceleration": 67.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.27,
        "downward_expansion": 8.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        47.204667,
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        45.431709
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 47.91,
    "trend_reference": 44.356333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080116,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.887211,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335016,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.041012,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125573,
    "excess_performance": -0.045319,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080116,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046136,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335016,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025468,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03041,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015834,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125573,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.64213,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15009,
      "relative_activity": 3.091293,
      "balance": 4.64213,
      "dry_up": 1.473971,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023963,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.114373,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008177,
      "from_low_reference": 0.280331
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.356333,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.887211,
      "structural_low": 40.044998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.01373,
        "positive_rate": 0.604651,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.604651,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002435,
        "regime_survival": 0.860465,
        "best_return": 0.075123,
        "worst_return": -0.069286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006077,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
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        "worst_return": -0.057553,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.875,
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        "worst_return": -0.116661,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.026291,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -1.708474,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": 1.228092,
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 1.791107,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.765098,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 86.488139,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 7908.4,
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        "fair_value": 34.876474,
        "relative_strength": -1.387772,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 35.13109,
        "relative_strength": -1.742371,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.71275,
        "energy": 74.27408,
        "activity_lines": [
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          44.940547,
          44.18958
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 46.709999,
        "volume": 276,
        "typical_volume": 7041.65,
        "trend": 43.464833,
        "fair_value": 35.258525,
        "relative_strength": -4.120543,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.782802,
        "energy": 63.045526,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2695,
        "typical_volume": 6188.85,
        "trend": 43.67,
        "fair_value": 35.385,
        "relative_strength": -3.271633,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.912383,
        "energy": 59.773801,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.16,
        "volume": 9352,
        "typical_volume": 4657.45,
        "trend": 43.84,
        "fair_value": 35.505705,
        "relative_strength": -3.373952,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.520018,
        "energy": 46.953604,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.580666,
          46.644908,
          45.65519,
          44.793731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.825001,
        "volume": 1256,
        "typical_volume": 4217.0,
        "trend": 44.020166,
        "fair_value": 35.626474,
        "relative_strength": -1.791669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.553564,
        "energy": 45.125571,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.627333,
          46.698545,
          45.877595,
          44.986311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.205002,
        "volume": 3009,
        "typical_volume": 4188.1,
        "trend": 44.191167,
        "fair_value": 35.753269,
        "relative_strength": -1.661381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.899855,
        "energy": 47.835156,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.821667,
          46.788818,
          46.112666,
          45.191785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.91,
        "volume": 15009,
        "typical_volume": 4855.25,
        "trend": 44.356333,
        "fair_value": 35.887211,
        "relative_strength": -3.041012,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.710715,
        "energy": 54.565978,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.204667,
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          45.431709
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}