{ "ticker": { "uuid": "556cf274-5b6b-43d1-8fd3-897ca48b0b85", "symbol": "MKC-V", "name": "McCormick & Company Incorporated", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 94.66, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.769, "architecture_energy": 9.819, "architecture_maturity": 29.068, "architecture_confidence": 63.203, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.41, "rotation_up": 30.65, "upward_expansion": 30.15, "deceleration": 49.56, "rotation_down": 16.64, "downward_expansion": 40.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.64732, 51.068276, 50.181356, 51.64942 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 52.83, "trend_reference": 54.68363, "distance_from_trend": -0.033897, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 66.961058, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.211034, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.447058, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.206804, "excess_performance": -0.332429, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033897, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085655, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.211034, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096714, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.214471, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128464, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.206804, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.270205, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54104, "relative_activity": 1.957003, "balance": 1.270205, "dry_up": 1.03265, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065509, "annualized_volatility": 0.390011, "from_high_reference": -0.26101, "from_low_reference": 0.192548 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.68363, "fair_value_reference": 66.961058, 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"typical_volume": 27611.3, "trend": 56.221247, "fair_value": 67.543025, "relative_strength": -21.671778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.347401, "energy": 25.329741, "activity_lines": [ 51.276835, 49.91699, 49.937172, 52.466822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.6099, "volume": 33925, "typical_volume": 27529.75, "trend": 55.674303, "fair_value": 67.330298, "relative_strength": -22.696603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.839214, "energy": 19.411741, "activity_lines": [ 51.329259, 50.20789, 49.884209, 52.104799 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.95, "volume": 17618, "typical_volume": 27475.6, "trend": 55.164067, "fair_value": 67.133378, "relative_strength": -22.287167, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.687054, "energy": 13.579214, "activity_lines": [ 51.192947, 50.494446, 49.927529, 51.800005 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.83, "volume": 54104, "typical_volume": 27646.35, "trend": 54.68363, "fair_value": 66.961058, "relative_strength": -21.447058, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.768836, "energy": 9.818879, "activity_lines": [ 51.64732, 51.068276, 50.181356, 51.64942 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }