{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5576417e-4a4e-4e8b-9775-f7771010f05d", "symbol": "MBG", "name": "Mercedes-Benz Group AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.6, "architecture_energy": 29.297, "architecture_maturity": 79.985, "architecture_confidence": 84.448, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.02, "rotation_up": 26.67, "upward_expansion": 16.15, "deceleration": 46.78, "rotation_down": 35.48, "downward_expansion": 66.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.023999, 45.598817, 46.954701, 48.038524 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 46.744999, "trend_reference": 49.742597, "distance_from_trend": -0.060262, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.829193, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080351, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.800142, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.148309, "excess_performance": -0.322556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060262, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064048, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080351, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048263, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258001, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082945, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.148309, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.372277, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1327, "relative_activity": 0.349353, "balance": 1.372277, "dry_up": 2.783438, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050371, "annualized_volatility": 0.272946, "from_high_reference": -0.199179, "from_low_reference": 0.077198 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.742597, "fair_value_reference": 50.829193, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.845231, "energy": 55.00498, "activity_lines": [ 44.747999, 45.46209, 47.20692, 48.481587 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.889999, "volume": 17189, "typical_volume": 3782.1, "trend": 50.068453, "fair_value": 50.882641, "relative_strength": -23.838926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.557318, "energy": 39.376116, "activity_lines": [ 45.526666, 45.514363, 47.077025, 48.25294 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.744999, "volume": 1327, "typical_volume": 3798.45, "trend": 49.742597, "fair_value": 50.829193, "relative_strength": -25.800142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.600258, "energy": 29.296855, "activity_lines": [ 46.023999, 45.598817, 46.954701, 48.038524 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }