{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5586f463-be0c-4951-afdd-56770a67519f",
    "symbol": "FDMO34",
    "name": "Ford Motor Company",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 69.903,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.27,
    "architecture_energy": 21.784,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.522,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.106,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.7,
        "rotation_up": 31.69,
        "upward_expansion": 63.91,
        "deceleration": 93.57,
        "rotation_down": 23.9,
        "downward_expansion": 6.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        72.926668,
        72.811638,
        72.039315,
        70.222534
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 72.0,
    "trend_reference": 69.05191,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.042694,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.837815,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.203252,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.476318,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.019083,
    "excess_performance": 0.076132,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042694,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010297,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203252,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165365,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014763,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215261,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019083,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 17.059199,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1271,
      "relative_activity": 0.374055,
      "balance": 17.059199,
      "dry_up": 0.448659,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.098697,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.462911,
      "from_high_reference": -0.198486,
      "from_low_reference": 0.27816
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.05191,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.837815,
      "structural_low": 56.330993,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.019129,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001743,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.141663,
        "worst_return": -0.115393,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.082728,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.08551,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.130918,
        "worst_return": -0.253857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.055232,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012147,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.882115,
        "worst_return": -0.095009,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.011637,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002857,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.041285,
        "worst_return": -0.152218,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.130648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.094907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.12072,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.155791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.131791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.172768,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.17696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026226,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 59.287554,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.694,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 59.328901,
        "relative_strength": -2.90143,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 11.927187,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3347.55,
        "trend": 69.013076,
        "fair_value": 59.387463,
        "relative_strength": -2.384818,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.214271,
        "energy": 19.937035,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 73.300003,
        "volume": 1455,
        "typical_volume": 3354.1,
        "trend": 69.040688,
        "fair_value": 59.478577,
        "relative_strength": 2.200955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.729779,
        "energy": 19.243366,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.277336,
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          69.460922
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.730003,
        "volume": 603,
        "typical_volume": 3273.75,
        "trend": 69.056185,
        "fair_value": 59.58981,
        "relative_strength": 1.419795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.066091,
        "energy": 17.476277,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.380003,
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          71.13396,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.330002,
        "volume": 2769,
        "typical_volume": 3351.95,
        "trend": 69.158135,
        "fair_value": 59.711583,
        "relative_strength": 1.42399,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.213925,
        "energy": 21.327961,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.080669,
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          70.039188
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.0,
        "volume": 1271,
        "typical_volume": 3397.9,
        "trend": 69.05191,
        "fair_value": 59.837815,
        "relative_strength": 1.476318,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.270417,
        "energy": 21.783931,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}