{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5587aa83-55ce-4469-b222-200a992d9332", "symbol": "GILD34", "name": "Gilead Sciences, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 49.877, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.446, "architecture_energy": 11.46, "architecture_maturity": 18.14, "architecture_confidence": 54.506, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.28, "rotation_up": 29.12, "upward_expansion": 27.88, "deceleration": 45.25, "rotation_down": 27.02, "downward_expansion": 49.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 336.341994, 334.795019, 334.125218, 340.596381 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 341.23999, "trend_reference": 348.756969, "distance_from_trend": -0.021554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 262.923642, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297867, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.047651, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.129602, "excess_performance": -0.072554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021554, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001764, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.297867, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013968, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146906, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129602, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.993956, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 346, "relative_activity": 0.773357, "balance": 0.993956, "dry_up": 0.684511, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046674, "annualized_volatility": 0.218626, "from_high_reference": -0.131513, "from_low_reference": 0.17677 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 348.756969, "fair_value_reference": 262.923642, "structural_low": 312.480011, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.042496, "positive_rate": 0.9, "directional_follow_through": 0.9, "median_excess_return": 0.026758, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.105354, "worst_return": -0.044114, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.023995, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036379, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.127248, "worst_return": -0.090223, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.147571, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.003236, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.571755, "worst_return": -0.104154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.000106, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.019426, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.069843, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.031653, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.079545, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": 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-8.839708, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.540279, "energy": 26.309308, "activity_lines": [ 332.195337, 331.338699, 336.081661, 343.568658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 344.320007, "volume": 323, "typical_volume": 459.45, "trend": 348.816555, "fair_value": 259.897149, "relative_strength": -3.075368, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.185178, "energy": 20.930902, "activity_lines": [ 337.405339, 333.88284, 336.013476, 343.311735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 330.529999, "volume": 74, "typical_volume": 431.55, "trend": 348.46765, "fair_value": 260.925021, "relative_strength": -6.713592, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.996003, "energy": 21.189648, "activity_lines": [ 336.189337, 333.491517, 334.777438, 342.131957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 331.579987, "volume": 482, "typical_volume": 431.65, "trend": 348.153746, "fair_value": 261.905209, "relative_strength": -8.072571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.301073, "energy": 17.517525, "activity_lines": [ 334.697998, 333.229271, 333.872229, 341.04243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 341.23999, "volume": 346, "typical_volume": 447.4, "trend": 348.756969, "fair_value": 262.923642, "relative_strength": -2.047651, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.446029, "energy": 11.460328, "activity_lines": [ 336.341994, 334.795019, 334.125218, 340.596381 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }