{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "558aa64c-8d4b-4ffe-9df1-b258125d1179",
    "symbol": "FEX",
    "name": "First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.577,
    "architecture_energy": 48.02,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.129,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.462,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.01,
        "rotation_up": 40.82,
        "upward_expansion": 73.45,
        "deceleration": 76.36,
        "rotation_down": 27.95,
        "downward_expansion": 7.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        137.376727,
        137.133105,
        135.30705,
        132.832681
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 139.86,
    "trend_reference": 129.830748,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077249,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 105.606254,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324353,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.214963,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.108819,
    "excess_performance": -0.078635,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077249,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051208,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324353,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026669,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01215,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056597,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108819,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.004326,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 171142,
      "relative_activity": 1.531156,
      "balance": 2.004326,
      "dry_up": 1.263763,
      "accumulation_observations": 7,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024891,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.107277,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00442,
      "from_low_reference": 0.265391
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 129.830748,
      "fair_value_reference": 105.606254,
      "structural_low": 119.0392,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.014941,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003948,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.074358,
        "worst_return": -0.052404,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.023537,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010671,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.148153,
        "worst_return": -0.120369,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.090132,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032531,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.144242,
        "worst_return": 0.036199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.151701,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036533,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.219803,
        "worst_return": -0.147155,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.088165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018362,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.094802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.115883,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.046336,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.007989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.079536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.054396,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026205,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 102405.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 99534.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -3.548571,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 103912.25,
        "trend": 127.590018,
        "fair_value": 104.229615,
        "relative_strength": -3.599531,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 135.2579,
        "volume": 133407,
        "typical_volume": 104469.4,
        "trend": 128.141644,
        "fair_value": 104.560066,
        "relative_strength": -0.666496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.717848,
        "energy": 52.075891,
        "activity_lines": [
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          131.135384
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 136.2269,
        "volume": 123606,
        "typical_volume": 105866.65,
        "trend": 128.686868,
        "fair_value": 104.894314,
        "relative_strength": 1.671571,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.668472,
        "energy": 41.103648,
        "activity_lines": [
          136.3622,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 136.2886,
        "volume": 136864,
        "typical_volume": 109702.3,
        "trend": 129.23888,
        "fair_value": 105.237505,
        "relative_strength": 1.161874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.280951,
        "energy": 36.184694,
        "activity_lines": [
          136.21474,
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          134.535188,
          132.147448
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 139.86,
        "volume": 171142,
        "typical_volume": 111773.1,
        "trend": 129.830748,
        "fair_value": 105.606254,
        "relative_strength": -1.214963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.577442,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}