{ "ticker": { "uuid": "559d8b2a-65a6-45b2-a779-22b84de1e939", "symbol": "FNKO", "name": "Funko Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 86.793, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.847, "architecture_energy": 42.596, "architecture_maturity": 55.321, "architecture_confidence": 94.802, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.77, "rotation_up": 54.67, "upward_expansion": 81.1, "deceleration": 58.35, "rotation_down": 23.06, "downward_expansion": 5.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.820667, 5.724727, 5.447238, 5.118108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.88, "trend_reference": 4.740333, "distance_from_trend": 0.240419, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.857308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.142521, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.225717, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.481108, "excess_performance": 0.293655, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.240419, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.201402, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.142521, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129813, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.272257, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12606, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.481108, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.649911, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9594437, "relative_activity": 2.533516, "balance": 2.649911, "dry_up": 1.448605, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120004, "annualized_volatility": 0.833281, "from_high_reference": -0.164773, "from_low_reference": 1.324111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.740333, "fair_value_reference": 6.857308, "structural_low": 2.9, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.03327, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.035484, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.167662, "worst_return": -0.45966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.099573, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.040095, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.409471, "worst_return": -0.497734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.4876, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.534029, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.228421, "worst_return": -0.638218, "sufficient": false }, { 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"relative_strength": 34.115893, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.467903, "energy": 42.971528, "activity_lines": [ 5.762667, 5.673273, 5.353333, 5.039828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.88, "volume": 9594437, "typical_volume": 3787004.15, "trend": 4.740333, "fair_value": 6.857308, "relative_strength": 27.225717, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.846505, "energy": 42.596393, "activity_lines": [ 5.820667, 5.724727, 5.447238, 5.118108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }