{ "ticker": { "uuid": "55a90a56-7002-42a2-a06d-1a79ab21f0ea", "symbol": "CVKD", "name": "Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.209, "architecture_energy": 87.263, "architecture_maturity": 94.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.482, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 13.21, "upward_expansion": 21.62, "deceleration": 37.15, "rotation_down": 75.69, "downward_expansion": 97.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.074667, 2.525636, 3.461143, 4.17343 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.95, "trend_reference": 5.100167, "distance_from_trend": -0.61766, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.559914, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.815339, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -78.900772, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.657895, "excess_performance": -0.845348, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.61766, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.298778, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.815339, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.327123, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.789008, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.278613, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.657895, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.264917, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 170429, "relative_activity": 0.526503, "balance": 0.264917, "dry_up": 0.940246, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.431657, "annualized_volatility": 0.955206, "from_high_reference": -0.866803, "from_low_reference": 0.048387 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.100167, "fair_value_reference": 10.559914, "structural_low": 1.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.057163, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.120683, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.574728, "worst_return": -0.32526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.163498, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.210658, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.356013, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.206349, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.37344, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.885706, "worst_return": -0.663636, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -71.691985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.635095, "energy": 75.683615, "activity_lines": [ 3.246667, 3.749273, 4.502476, 5.08472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.16, "volume": 518111, "typical_volume": 318000.75, "trend": 5.663833, "fair_value": 10.762232, "relative_strength": -77.396422, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.127401, "energy": 81.199265, "activity_lines": [ 2.850667, 3.369727, 4.20969, 4.848022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.04, "volume": 378556, "typical_volume": 324236.55, "trend": 5.484833, "fair_value": 10.692886, "relative_strength": -77.765096, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.831069, "energy": 80.176007, "activity_lines": [ 2.517333, 3.039818, 3.935619, 4.614226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.01, "volume": 150334, "typical_volume": 323858.0, "trend": 5.3075, "fair_value": 10.620203, "relative_strength": -77.706727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.227065, "energy": 87.432946, "activity_lines": [ 2.271333, 2.759273, 3.688405, 4.390043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.95, "volume": 170429, "typical_volume": 323699.7, "trend": 5.100167, "fair_value": 10.559914, "relative_strength": -78.900772, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.20913, "energy": 87.262704, "activity_lines": [ 2.074667, 2.525636, 3.461143, 4.17343 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }