{ "ticker": { "uuid": "55b4573b-1f99-4099-b1ef-08f326244137", "symbol": "290130", "name": "Kb Asset Management Co Ltd - kbstar esg sri ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.233, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -9.458, "architecture_energy": 27.977, "architecture_maturity": 62.08, "architecture_confidence": 74.856, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.65, "rotation_up": 14.03, "upward_expansion": 42.82, "deceleration": 87.97, "rotation_down": 50.22, "downward_expansion": 36.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 45471.666667, 50132.0, 50919.495954, 47636.550907 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 42240.0, "trend_reference": 42817.940755, "distance_from_trend": -0.013498, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19122.412422, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.208926, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.320346, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.414266, "excess_performance": 0.184437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013498, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.311099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.208926, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.967167, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.133203, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077788, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.414266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.439999, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 664976, "relative_activity": 0.263753, "balance": 1.439999, "dry_up": 0.592882, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162952, "annualized_volatility": 0.575114, "from_high_reference": -0.375148, "from_low_reference": 1.777592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42817.940755, "fair_value_reference": 19122.412422, "structural_low": 29638.033075, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.077212, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.02599, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.394675, "worst_return": 0.008887, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.122801, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.060821, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.500305, "worst_return": -0.004677, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.069286, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.08855, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.11846, "worst_return": 0.020112, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 25.049846, "activity_lines": [ 48125.0, 52430.727273, 51444.14176, 47640.343355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42240.0, "volume": 664976, "typical_volume": 2521202.95, "trend": 42817.940755, "fair_value": 19122.412422, "relative_strength": 13.320346, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -9.457511, "energy": 27.97726, "activity_lines": [ 45471.666667, 50132.0, 50919.495954, 47636.550907 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }