{ "ticker": { "uuid": "55c04f12-7480-4b42-80e6-bdfca7db7d55", "symbol": "CCCC", "name": "C4 Therapeutics\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.073, "architecture_energy": 20.385, "architecture_maturity": 68.504, "architecture_confidence": 95.979, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.12, "rotation_up": 22.19, "upward_expansion": 53.82, "deceleration": 90.83, "rotation_down": 32.35, "downward_expansion": 17.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.614, 3.793636, 3.718929, 3.473215 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.73, "trend_reference": 3.101833, "distance_from_trend": 0.202515, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.742949, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003459, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.056825, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.049451, "excess_performance": 0.861997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.202515, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199858, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.003459, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199133, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.170568, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097612, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.049451, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.129413, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10648031, "relative_activity": 0.728209, "balance": 2.129413, "dry_up": 0.921622, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.18855, "annualized_volatility": 0.731907, "from_high_reference": -0.27853, "from_low_reference": 1.20697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.101833, "fair_value_reference": 3.742949, "structural_low": 1.735, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.168691, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.177339, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.141026, "worst_return": -0.277154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.143203, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.240816, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.048889, "worst_return": -0.237517, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.068246, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.152396, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.126667, "worst_return": -0.263158, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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21.996955, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.886822, "energy": 34.167582, "activity_lines": [ 4.017333, 4.022727, 3.681143, 3.369376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.4, "volume": 12890734, "typical_volume": 14825306.7, "trend": 2.997167, "fair_value": 3.742244, "relative_strength": 13.747895, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.237125, "energy": 22.295485, "activity_lines": [ 3.786667, 3.919091, 3.683071, 3.398118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.48, "volume": 13966267, "typical_volume": 14661788.75, "trend": 3.048833, "fair_value": 3.740897, "relative_strength": 15.171238, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.936716, "energy": 20.86542, "activity_lines": [ 3.632667, 3.832909, 3.690905, 3.429269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.73, "volume": 10648031, "typical_volume": 14622212.35, "trend": 3.101833, "fair_value": 3.742949, "relative_strength": 17.056825, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.073384, "energy": 20.385461, "activity_lines": [ 3.614, 3.793636, 3.718929, 3.473215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }