{ "ticker": { "uuid": "55c521bc-c078-428a-affc-bcd72dc57e33", "symbol": "TEAKCPO", "name": "Proteak Uno, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.816, "architecture_energy": 51.048, "architecture_maturity": 63.17, "architecture_confidence": 93.508, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.64, "rotation_up": 22.12, "upward_expansion": 9.54, "deceleration": 43.98, "rotation_down": 50.8, "downward_expansion": 80.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.109133, 0.110255, 0.115057, 0.11989 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.11, "trend_reference": 0.127967, "distance_from_trend": -0.140401, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.795654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.861749, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.056082, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.3125, "excess_performance": -0.257833, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.140401, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18145, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.861749, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015913, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.380561, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098605, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.3125, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.905788, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 620790, "relative_activity": 1.233725, "balance": 0.905788, "dry_up": 0.75224, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086014, "annualized_volatility": 0.382804, "from_high_reference": -0.627119, "from_low_reference": 1.391304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.127967, "fair_value_reference": 0.795654, "structural_low": 0.103, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 48, "median_return": -0.02, "positive_rate": 0.291667, "directional_follow_through": 0.645833, "median_excess_return": -0.040582, "regime_survival": 0.895833, "best_return": 1.027027, "worst_return": -0.697959, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.165453, "positive_rate": 0.1875, "directional_follow_through": 0.8125, "median_excess_return": -0.184202, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.797428, "worst_return": -0.508333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.204013, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.330627, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.064, "worst_return": -0.606667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-01-27", "end": "2023-03-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.012987, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-03-24", "end": "2023-12-22", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.405405, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-29", "end": "2024-01-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.022321, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.842105, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116949, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.11, "volume": 295616, "typical_volume": 447295.05, "trend": 0.129933, "fair_value": 0.870045, "relative_strength": -43.208502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.912007, "energy": 60.133614, "activity_lines": [ 0.111267, 0.116291, 0.1203, 0.125301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.107, "volume": 604612, "typical_volume": 470784.9, "trend": 0.128667, "fair_value": 0.851564, "relative_strength": -43.678261, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.120252, "energy": 61.845479, "activity_lines": [ 0.1096, 0.114018, 0.118614, 0.123822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.109, "volume": 115324, "typical_volume": 472499.0, "trend": 0.129833, "fair_value": 0.832712, "relative_strength": -40.985939, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.11659, "energy": 57.235875, "activity_lines": [ 0.108933, 0.112491, 0.117267, 0.122553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.109, "volume": 173333, "typical_volume": 475810.25, "trend": 0.130433, "fair_value": 0.814179, "relative_strength": -40.03672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.89602, "energy": 47.151658, "activity_lines": [ 0.108733, 0.111182, 0.116052, 0.121209 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.11, "volume": 620790, "typical_volume": 503183.55, "trend": 0.127967, "fair_value": 0.795654, "relative_strength": -38.056082, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.81629, "energy": 51.048196, "activity_lines": [ 0.109133, 0.110255, 0.115057, 0.11989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }