{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "55c8905f-d274-47f4-b3c8-5574776e5c21",
    "symbol": "ADM",
    "name": "Archer-Daniels-Midland Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.074,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.184,
    "architecture_energy": 38.757,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.008,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.334,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.95,
        "rotation_up": 50.62,
        "upward_expansion": 75.26,
        "deceleration": 62.19,
        "rotation_down": 23.24,
        "downward_expansion": 6.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        80.666667,
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        78.785906,
        76.625752
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 76.59,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.04076,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.438018,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288569,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.414448,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.171239,
    "excess_performance": 0.045614,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04076,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108536,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288569,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026533,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014144,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125342,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171239,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.23807,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22412631,
      "relative_activity": 1.260148,
      "balance": 1.23807,
      "dry_up": 1.069821,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067561,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.338931,
      "from_high_reference": -0.134185,
      "from_low_reference": 0.410016
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 73.590466,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.438018,
      "structural_low": 64.574028,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
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        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55,
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        "regime_survival": 0.65,
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        "worst_return": -0.064541,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 59.377634,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 18377220.2,
        "trend": 72.371118,
        "fair_value": 59.427247,
        "relative_strength": 19.793355,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 73.611334,
        "energy": 69.778565,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 79.27,
        "volume": 24300205,
        "typical_volume": 18365048.65,
        "trend": 73.072945,
        "fair_value": 59.439105,
        "relative_strength": 8.865095,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.219007,
        "energy": 59.445654,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.356,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 76.59,
        "volume": 22412631,
        "typical_volume": 17785712.1,
        "trend": 73.590466,
        "fair_value": 59.438018,
        "relative_strength": 1.414448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.183854,
        "energy": 38.757318,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}