{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "55f1f45d-c7a7-42b4-818d-55f6edcb03fe",
    "symbol": "300438",
    "name": "Guangzhou Great Power Energy and Technology Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 63.821,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.156,
    "architecture_energy": 46.894,
    "architecture_maturity": 3.578,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.597,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.09,
        "rotation_up": 14.3,
        "upward_expansion": 23.64,
        "deceleration": 52.22,
        "rotation_down": 65.78,
        "downward_expansion": 50.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.836666,
        66.297454,
        70.826207,
        68.497192
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 62.689999,
    "trend_reference": 63.95155,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.019727,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.337791,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.725201,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 13.050189,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.388633,
    "excess_performance": 0.381233,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019727,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096959,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.725201,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.745903,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130502,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.532144,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.388633,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.409656,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 92839782,
      "relative_activity": 0.656559,
      "balance": 0.409656,
      "dry_up": 0.940316,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.14373,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.696165,
      "from_high_reference": -0.323721,
      "from_low_reference": 1.467103
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.95155,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.337791,
      "structural_low": 42.966803,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.251392,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.206575,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.451219,
        "worst_return": -0.140814,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.546289,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.491405,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.181679,
        "worst_return": -0.089101,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.584144,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.527764,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.143227,
        "worst_return": 0.02506,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.672944,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.460545,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.797136,
        "worst_return": 0.548751,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.178425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.185362,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.092146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166951,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000759,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.036635,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069539,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.573383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.277076,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.391723,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.225744,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 36.181717,
        "relative_strength": 18.141527,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -4.817822,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 147086304.4,
        "trend": 63.634514,
        "fair_value": 36.240155,
        "relative_strength": 14.909637,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.95918,
        "energy": 37.785563,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 62.689999,
        "volume": 92839782,
        "typical_volume": 141403604.75,
        "trend": 63.95155,
        "fair_value": 36.337791,
        "relative_strength": 13.050189,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.155634,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}