{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "55ff8378-520a-4bb4-be02-a22aaf3196f6",
    "symbol": "BEP-UN",
    "name": "Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 67.802,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 4.814,
    "architecture_energy": 16.603,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.216,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.782,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.6,
        "rotation_up": 16.04,
        "upward_expansion": 41.38,
        "deceleration": 84.05,
        "rotation_down": 41.21,
        "downward_expansion": 35.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.984,
        46.711272,
        47.313579,
        46.589678
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 46.18,
    "trend_reference": 45.144532,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.022937,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.698234,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330903,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.097508,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.12859,
    "excess_performance": 0.008168,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022937,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071539,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.330903,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044038,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010975,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092484,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12859,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.38744,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1079823,
      "relative_activity": 0.804937,
      "balance": 1.38744,
      "dry_up": 1.337681,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054563,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229538,
      "from_high_reference": -0.103649,
      "from_low_reference": 0.437687
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.144532,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.698234,
      "structural_low": 39.427938,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.006499,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023277,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.163853,
        "worst_return": -0.08002,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.084818,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056279,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.153415,
        "worst_return": -0.246888,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.084254,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049609,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.265164,
        "worst_return": -0.147762,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.046564,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.136177,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.090121,
        "worst_return": -0.078424,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.140562,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.086438,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.08649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.06489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "return": 0.070786,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.120932,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.007197,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 34.376114,
        "relative_strength": 1.285695,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1609010,
        "typical_volume": 1297573.7,
        "trend": 44.234269,
        "fair_value": 34.43585,
        "relative_strength": -1.368618,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.164049,
        "energy": 15.522917,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.569333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.709999,
        "volume": 2848816,
        "typical_volume": 1362389.85,
        "trend": 44.560113,
        "fair_value": 34.513975,
        "relative_strength": 3.072765,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.879113,
        "energy": 18.969985,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.312666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.94,
        "volume": 1640348,
        "typical_volume": 1373869.15,
        "trend": 44.832748,
        "fair_value": 34.604454,
        "relative_strength": 1.73651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.840967,
        "energy": 19.57481,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.976666,
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          47.391271,
          46.502759
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.18,
        "volume": 1079823,
        "typical_volume": 1341500.15,
        "trend": 45.144532,
        "fair_value": 34.698234,
        "relative_strength": -1.097508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.813865,
        "energy": 16.602654,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.984,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}