{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "560c8614-2d6d-4e1b-a914-f4b22cf71da7",
    "symbol": "ENGI3",
    "name": "Energisa S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.04,
    "architecture_energy": 41.37,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.334,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.361,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.55,
        "rotation_up": 19.37,
        "upward_expansion": 5.12,
        "deceleration": 47.5,
        "rotation_down": 52.12,
        "downward_expansion": 76.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.736667,
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        12.032143,
        12.209462
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 11.5,
    "trend_reference": 12.412333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.073502,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 12.039786,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.044834,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.294438,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.08,
    "excess_performance": -0.022952,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073502,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025019,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044834,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144692,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112944,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038515,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.762735,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11200,
      "relative_activity": 0.677761,
      "balance": 0.762735,
      "dry_up": 0.863843,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054181,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.189688,
      "from_high_reference": -0.205252,
      "from_low_reference": 0.123389
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.412333,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.039786,
      "structural_low": 11.46,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.010653,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008701,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.196,
        "worst_return": -0.148539,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.029238,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.063791,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.13,
        "worst_return": -0.106589,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.016656,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001011,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.26523,
        "worst_return": -0.148138,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.027563,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.032272,
        "worst_return": -0.165985,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "close": 13.45,
        "volume": 43700,
        "typical_volume": 28540.0,
        "trend": 12.691695,
        "fair_value": 11.944126,
        "relative_strength": -9.242626,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.57612,
        "energy": 49.30515,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.123333,
          12.872364,
          12.773238,
          12.763713
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 13.5,
        "volume": 25000,
        "typical_volume": 28775.0,
        "trend": 12.747046,
        "fair_value": 11.964843,
        "relative_strength": -7.037353,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.718449,
        "energy": 61.568612,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.304667,
          13.006909,
          12.847571,
          12.815862
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 13.18,
        "volume": 37600,
        "typical_volume": 26545.0,
        "trend": 12.822041,
        "fair_value": 11.983356,
        "relative_strength": -7.442965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.535119,
        "energy": 57.96263,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.297333,
          13.072182,
          12.889571,
          12.843794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.2,
        "volume": 17700,
        "typical_volume": 26250.0,
        "trend": 12.806748,
        "fair_value": 11.995127,
        "relative_strength": -10.83027,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.446775,
        "energy": 10.278351,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.946667,
          12.95,
          12.835,
          12.803662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.05,
        "volume": 13000,
        "typical_volume": 26235.0,
        "trend": 12.782253,
        "fair_value": 12.003483,
        "relative_strength": -11.160858,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.338487,
        "energy": 16.18215,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.602667,
          12.806,
          12.766571,
          12.75484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 11.9,
        "volume": 14200,
        "typical_volume": 25260.0,
        "trend": 12.73085,
        "fair_value": 12.013587,
        "relative_strength": -10.749017,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.429756,
        "energy": 42.400513,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.277333,
          12.639273,
          12.68481,
          12.69792
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 11.94,
        "volume": 3200,
        "typical_volume": 23990.0,
        "trend": 12.710791,
        "fair_value": 12.02226,
        "relative_strength": -7.710715,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.026542,
        "energy": 54.483088,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.068667,
          12.49,
          12.611619,
          12.646898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.52,
        "volume": 3200,
        "typical_volume": 21930.0,
        "trend": 12.655125,
        "fair_value": 12.030132,
        "relative_strength": -11.783477,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.057446,
        "energy": 74.417535,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.824,
          12.270364,
          12.499762,
          12.570073
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 11.67,
        "volume": 3300,
        "typical_volume": 21090.0,
        "trend": 12.626667,
        "fair_value": 12.034264,
        "relative_strength": -9.0671,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.370483,
        "energy": 73.271088,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.74,
          12.103636,
          12.410667,
          12.506516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 11.8,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 19635.0,
        "trend": 12.571667,
        "fair_value": 12.035447,
        "relative_strength": -10.341222,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.559888,
        "energy": 67.011271,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.734667,
          11.985636,
          12.340762,
          12.453183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 12.1,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 18110.0,
        "trend": 12.541667,
        "fair_value": 12.036203,
        "relative_strength": -8.443476,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.965844,
        "energy": 48.091753,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.846,
          11.945455,
          12.302762,
          12.422753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.31,
        "volume": 16200,
        "typical_volume": 18540.0,
        "trend": 12.515,
        "fair_value": 12.039429,
        "relative_strength": -8.712819,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.986528,
        "energy": 27.603845,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.014,
          11.968,
          12.287238,
          12.407806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.72,
        "volume": 15300,
        "typical_volume": 18180.0,
        "trend": 12.489,
        "fair_value": 12.040866,
        "relative_strength": -10.886126,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.89115,
        "energy": 27.506138,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.960667,
          11.904909,
          12.218286,
          12.356516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.76,
        "volume": 10000,
        "typical_volume": 17355.0,
        "trend": 12.471333,
        "fair_value": 12.039085,
        "relative_strength": -10.629421,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.394373,
        "energy": 26.229106,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.907333,
          11.875636,
          12.157667,
          12.309484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.88,
        "volume": 20600,
        "typical_volume": 17475.0,
        "trend": 12.459,
        "fair_value": 12.04027,
        "relative_strength": -11.522698,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.88354,
        "energy": 24.179837,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.888,
          11.876182,
          12.112,
          12.271333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.5,
        "volume": 11200,
        "typical_volume": 16525.0,
        "trend": 12.412333,
        "fair_value": 12.039786,
        "relative_strength": -11.294438,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.039708,
        "energy": 41.369508,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.736667,
          11.810727,
          12.032143,
          12.209462
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}