{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5631ad8c-a46c-45fd-851b-05ac90c53da4",
    "symbol": "N1DA34",
    "name": "Nasdaq, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 48.163,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 42.697,
    "architecture_energy": 56.772,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.276,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.273,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.35,
        "rotation_up": 72.05,
        "upward_expansion": 60.16,
        "deceleration": 22.79,
        "rotation_down": 16.37,
        "downward_expansion": 18.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        237.289332,
        229.715526,
        226.423786,
        225.306624
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 241.919998,
    "trend_reference": 226.953579,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065945,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 201.099511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202987,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.775571,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.096634,
    "excess_performance": 0.153682,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065945,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034808,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202987,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076284,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017756,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.221747,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096634,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.482234,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 926,
      "relative_activity": 0.457103,
      "balance": 0.482234,
      "dry_up": 0.497334,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0526,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.303334,
      "from_high_reference": -0.155613,
      "from_low_reference": 0.201753
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 226.953579,
      "fair_value_reference": 201.099511,
      "structural_low": 201.305889,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.048799,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00321,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.058951,
        "worst_return": -0.057518,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.012465,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.12283,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.071345,
        "worst_return": -0.220549,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.036416,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.109319,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.135634,
        "worst_return": -0.259781,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.05114,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.292995,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.846854,
        "worst_return": -0.216839,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.071412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035803,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018072,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.047024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.195036,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.021094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.12663,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026346,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017365,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 124.814964,
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        "typical_volume": 2599.4,
        "trend": 131.224094,
        "fair_value": 139.826921,
        "relative_strength": -15.551103,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -40.998528,
        "energy": 29.545441,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
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        "date": "2024-01-05",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 3062.75,
        "trend": 236.66081,
        "fair_value": 191.930159,
        "relative_strength": -22.229369,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 3071.0,
        "trend": 235.746496,
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        "relative_strength": -23.950294,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 229.418106,
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        "relative_strength": -16.078462,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 8244,
        "typical_volume": 3465.95,
        "trend": 235.011171,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 16.694522,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3440.35,
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        "relative_strength": -12.308009,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 26,
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        "trend": 234.857448,
        "fair_value": 194.889388,
        "relative_strength": -13.188876,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 234.674172,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 232.628821,
        "fair_value": 196.72608,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 62.059075,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 218.25,
        "volume": 20,
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        "trend": 231.778151,
        "fair_value": 197.381384,
        "relative_strength": -15.506002,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2129.15,
        "trend": 230.772264,
        "fair_value": 198.057692,
        "relative_strength": -14.428726,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.170437,
        "energy": 41.988974,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 234.960007,
        "volume": 1481,
        "typical_volume": 2131.5,
        "trend": 229.852672,
        "fair_value": 198.806629,
        "relative_strength": -7.489481,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.821542,
        "energy": 6.454533,
        "activity_lines": [
          222.822002,
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          222.005291,
          223.490347
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 233.220001,
        "volume": 1179,
        "typical_volume": 2129.5,
        "trend": 228.467666,
        "fair_value": 199.558893,
        "relative_strength": -7.594387,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 2.092759,
        "energy": 15.110285,
        "activity_lines": [
          227.855335,
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          223.049397,
          223.707594
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 239.039993,
        "volume": 444,
        "typical_volume": 2075.2,
        "trend": 227.707355,
        "fair_value": 200.331736,
        "relative_strength": -6.603683,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.591724,
        "energy": 34.834302,
        "activity_lines": [
          233.280666,
          226.539588,
          224.637639,
          224.38968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 241.919998,
        "volume": 926,
        "typical_volume": 2025.8,
        "trend": 226.953579,
        "fair_value": 201.099511,
        "relative_strength": -1.775571,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.697316,
        "energy": 56.772051,
        "activity_lines": [
          237.289332,
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          226.423786,
          225.306624
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}