{ "ticker": { "uuid": "564cd817-ea92-4c72-a7e1-6df105d37c97", "symbol": "USDIV", "name": "Franklin US Dividend Tilt UCITS", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.546, "architecture_energy": 75.182, "architecture_maturity": 58.325, "architecture_confidence": 76.34, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.4, "rotation_up": 61.68, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.0, "rotation_down": 29.43, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.0928, 28.946, 28.479075, 27.835375 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.707001, "trend_reference": 27.008862, "distance_from_trend": 0.099898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.757186, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.199934, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.090249, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.168449, "excess_performance": 0.115138, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048102, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.199934, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052691, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.070902, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051462, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.168449, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.189711, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5, "relative_activity": 0.253165, "balance": 0.189711, "dry_up": 4.139241, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012612, "annualized_volatility": 0.106231, "from_high_reference": -0.003087, "from_low_reference": 0.261494 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.008862, "fair_value_reference": 24.757186, "structural_low": 25.209102, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.033611, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 24.792873, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 24.792873, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 24.707508, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.843, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.740999, "volume": 311, "typical_volume": 19.5, "trend": 26.87308, "fair_value": 24.695313, "relative_strength": 6.379603, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.15324, "energy": 63.463626, "activity_lines": [ 28.787, 28.771387, 28.280456, 27.652542 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.707001, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 19.75, "trend": 27.008862, "fair_value": 24.757186, "relative_strength": 7.090249, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.546357, "energy": 75.182269, "activity_lines": [ 29.0928, 28.946, 28.479075, 27.835375 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }