{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "565639e5-a831-47ac-913a-1a7a650fb585",
    "symbol": "2444",
    "name": "AboCom Systems, Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 93.871,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.18,
    "architecture_energy": 74.797,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.845,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.296,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.59,
        "rotation_up": 9.69,
        "upward_expansion": 17.29,
        "deceleration": 37.17,
        "rotation_down": 77.89,
        "downward_expansion": 95.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.02,
        11.510909,
        12.121905,
        12.418925
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 11.0,
    "trend_reference": 12.725,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.13556,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.097756,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.160162,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -35.293166,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.12,
    "excess_performance": -0.561372,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13556,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021405,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160162,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.143586,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.352932,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082166,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.714338,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1378474,
      "relative_activity": 0.49383,
      "balance": 0.714338,
      "dry_up": 0.441589,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08986,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.367667,
      "from_high_reference": -0.301587,
      "from_low_reference": 0.062802
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.725,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.097756,
      "structural_low": 10.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.020408,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014081,
        "regime_survival": 0.809524,
        "best_return": 0.183761,
        "worst_return": -0.089844,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.029,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023661,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.254464,
        "worst_return": -0.092105,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.099078,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011419,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.142276,
        "worst_return": -0.060484,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.060484,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.164933,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.136752,
        "worst_return": 0.017544,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.081301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.169173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.434109,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.030812,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.122283,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.061688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034335,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.076613,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -30.525036,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3788495.55,
        "trend": 12.778333,
        "fair_value": 13.154808,
        "relative_strength": -31.630973,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.690609,
        "energy": 46.286318,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.25,
        "volume": 1022190,
        "typical_volume": 3229082.6,
        "trend": 12.768333,
        "fair_value": 13.138141,
        "relative_strength": -32.991838,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.454564,
        "energy": 65.674981,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.803333,
          12.278182,
          12.63119,
          12.766774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.95,
        "volume": 1531000,
        "typical_volume": 3139465.4,
        "trend": 12.745,
        "fair_value": 13.124038,
        "relative_strength": -33.194906,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.457445,
        "energy": 74.46989,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.433333,
          11.992727,
          12.449286,
          12.649462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.9,
        "volume": 998925,
        "typical_volume": 2878648.95,
        "trend": 12.728333,
        "fair_value": 13.111859,
        "relative_strength": -34.380649,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.532348,
        "energy": 77.464078,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.143333,
          11.729091,
          12.273333,
          12.53043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 11.0,
        "volume": 1378474,
        "typical_volume": 2791391.2,
        "trend": 12.725,
        "fair_value": 13.097756,
        "relative_strength": -35.293166,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.179965,
        "energy": 74.797167,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.02,
          11.510909,
          12.121905,
          12.418925
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}