{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5664bb6b-4542-4657-b3f9-79b2cd234dec", "symbol": "688218", "name": "Jiangsu Beiren Robot System Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.672, "architecture_energy": 23.434, "architecture_maturity": 75.534, "architecture_confidence": 70.518, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.28, "rotation_up": 15.17, "upward_expansion": 41.83, "deceleration": 87.99, "rotation_down": 46.95, "downward_expansion": 35.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.293334, 41.631273, 41.897286, 38.266818 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 39.48, "trend_reference": 33.410334, "distance_from_trend": 0.18167, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.738135, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.73629, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 33.813363, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.841418, "excess_performance": 0.884622, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.18167, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.277495, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.73629, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174567, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.338134, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157039, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.841418, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.321038, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20067764, "relative_activity": 0.872183, "balance": 2.321038, "dry_up": 1.125416, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.191197, "annualized_volatility": 0.748951, "from_high_reference": -0.313033, "from_low_reference": 0.97994 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.410334, "fair_value_reference": 22.738135, "structural_low": 20.200001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071364, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.059713, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.193436, "worst_return": -0.143249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.060274, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.107321, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021382, "worst_return": -0.314815, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.079519, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.028309, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.330724, "worst_return": -0.084011, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062985, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.159217, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.199169, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117025, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.055531, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", 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48.524728, 40.966238, 36.116452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.700001, "volume": 20635842, "typical_volume": 21099447.95, "trend": 31.444667, "fair_value": 22.298141, "relative_strength": 61.624613, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.001461, "energy": 60.364449, "activity_lines": [ 49.862, 48.704909, 42.103286, 37.152301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.66, "volume": 27409862, "typical_volume": 22066890.6, "trend": 31.962667, "fair_value": 22.395637, "relative_strength": 33.416768, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.24928, "energy": 30.697767, "activity_lines": [ 45.077333, 46.828728, 42.167905, 37.488775 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.700001, "volume": 30762871, "typical_volume": 23003408.25, "trend": 32.522667, "fair_value": 22.51042, "relative_strength": 34.124408, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.551133, "energy": 25.199339, "activity_lines": [ 41.748667, 45.189819, 42.264143, 37.858925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.220001, "volume": 25336853, "typical_volume": 23428956.45, "trend": 32.855, "fair_value": 22.596885, "relative_strength": 13.403384, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.150762, "energy": 21.240865, "activity_lines": [ 37.746667, 42.644364, 41.758715, 37.839398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.48, "volume": 20067764, "typical_volume": 23008674.1, "trend": 33.410334, "fair_value": 22.738135, "relative_strength": 33.813363, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.67168, "energy": 23.433623, "activity_lines": [ 37.293334, 41.631273, 41.897286, 38.266818 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }