{ "ticker": { "uuid": "567267e3-fec3-4600-8efa-e073246a20c9", "symbol": "322410", "name": "NH-Amundi HANARO High Dividend Yield ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -7.26, "architecture_energy": 8.224, "architecture_maturity": 25.487, "architecture_confidence": 44.012, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.01, "rotation_up": 27.73, "upward_expansion": 20.64, "deceleration": 65.52, "rotation_down": 34.14, "downward_expansion": 31.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 22581.552995, 22549.235547, 22981.971252, 23051.039877 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23090.0, "trend_reference": 22874.93444, "distance_from_trend": 0.009402, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15074.642046, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.531711, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.54506, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.078899, "excess_performance": -0.15093, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009402, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.531711, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211003, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085451, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208748, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078899, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.598194, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37116, "relative_activity": 0.39614, "balance": 0.598194, "dry_up": 0.393699, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065515, "annualized_volatility": 0.299486, "from_high_reference": -0.104364, "from_low_reference": 0.417041 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22874.93444, "fair_value_reference": 15074.642046, "structural_low": 20565.817562, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.059353, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.000996, "regime_survival": 0.181818, "best_return": 0.115812, "worst_return": -0.036544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.024773, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.010205, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.147074, "worst_return": -0.035648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.06586, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.045129, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.463585, "worst_return": 0.014724, "sufficient": true 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"activity_lines": [ 22428.739453, 22768.422692, 23169.781166, 23063.193679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22282.636719, "volume": 22506, "typical_volume": 103612.8, "trend": 22584.326107, "fair_value": 14909.03177, "relative_strength": -18.744227, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.014396, "energy": 16.384243, "activity_lines": [ 22390.287109, 22614.517933, 23084.548214, 23051.649719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22200.0, "volume": 54765, "typical_volume": 97905.8, "trend": 22715.126432, "fair_value": 14989.041291, "relative_strength": -17.164061, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.360723, "energy": 18.456849, "activity_lines": [ 22374.038151, 22484.20625, 22991.093973, 23026.854486 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23090.0, "volume": 37116, "typical_volume": 93694.15, "trend": 22874.93444, "fair_value": 15074.642046, "relative_strength": -8.54506, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.260342, "energy": 8.223725, "activity_lines": [ 22581.552995, 22549.235547, 22981.971252, 23051.039877 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }