{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "56751fbf-c7d9-4a1d-a00a-51407d78800e",
    "symbol": "FREJA",
    "name": "Freja eID Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.348,
    "architecture_energy": 66.078,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.199,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.68,
        "rotation_up": 76.11,
        "upward_expansion": 87.88,
        "deceleration": 50.94,
        "rotation_down": 10.56,
        "downward_expansion": 12.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.913333,
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        17.864946
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 22.1,
    "trend_reference": 16.938333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.304733,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.592885,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.906342,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 22.508665,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.407643,
    "excess_performance": 0.346149,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304733,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075905,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.906342,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.373739,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.225087,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205939,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.407643,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.425159,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 201431,
      "relative_activity": 1.32819,
      "balance": 1.425159,
      "dry_up": 1.066976,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.096763,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.534016,
      "from_high_reference": -0.101626,
      "from_low_reference": 0.990991
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.938333,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.592885,
      "structural_low": 13.6,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.007862,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020626,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.182278,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
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        "worst_return": -0.323009,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.065163,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.084302,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 16.200001,
        "volume": 147839,
        "typical_volume": 171503.05,
        "trend": 15.883333,
        "fair_value": 10.570256,
        "relative_strength": 1.914736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.876368,
        "energy": 23.171556,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.23,
          15.843636,
          15.749524,
          15.753978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 16.9,
        "volume": 126660,
        "typical_volume": 176543.3,
        "trend": 15.913333,
        "fair_value": 10.641026,
        "relative_strength": 6.925756,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.64136,
        "energy": 39.05793,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.433333,
          16.080909,
          15.862143,
          15.81957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 15.4,
        "volume": 187571,
        "typical_volume": 181945.7,
        "trend": 15.858333,
        "fair_value": 10.700385,
        "relative_strength": -6.26864,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.992738,
        "energy": 9.659866,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.11,
          16.03,
          15.824048,
          15.786452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 15.3,
        "volume": 110256,
        "typical_volume": 180064.25,
        "trend": 15.743333,
        "fair_value": 10.760128,
        "relative_strength": -6.565596,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.145824,
        "energy": 8.759779,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.816667,
          15.951818,
          15.777381,
          15.75043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 14.6,
        "volume": 11501,
        "typical_volume": 167282.45,
        "trend": 15.7,
        "fair_value": 10.815128,
        "relative_strength": -10.063793,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.514872,
        "energy": 20.109235,
        "activity_lines": [
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          15.665952,
          15.676667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 14.95,
        "volume": 8490,
        "typical_volume": 159358.6,
        "trend": 15.646667,
        "fair_value": 10.872756,
        "relative_strength": -7.804711,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.826161,
        "energy": 35.907029,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.116667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 16.950001,
        "volume": 344541,
        "typical_volume": 158293.15,
        "trend": 15.691667,
        "fair_value": 10.936795,
        "relative_strength": 2.14281,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.472014,
        "energy": 14.276758,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.623334,
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          15.716191,
          15.712366
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 55242,
        "typical_volume": 142153.4,
        "trend": 15.713333,
        "fair_value": 10.997244,
        "relative_strength": -0.862903,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.134824,
        "energy": 16.366413,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.926667,
          15.841818,
          15.780476,
          15.754839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 19.4,
        "volume": 71917,
        "typical_volume": 135579.6,
        "trend": 15.821667,
        "fair_value": 11.084679,
        "relative_strength": 13.717867,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.877176,
        "energy": 67.176342,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.183334,
          16.477273,
          16.132143,
          15.992688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.6,
        "volume": 553323,
        "typical_volume": 151945.1,
        "trend": 16.101667,
        "fair_value": 11.201859,
        "relative_strength": 40.002597,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.502324,
        "energy": 91.507702,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.566667,
          17.820909,
          16.866429,
          16.494516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 22.299999,
        "volume": 152219,
        "typical_volume": 151811.2,
        "trend": 16.336667,
        "fair_value": 11.310962,
        "relative_strength": 32.59672,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.516496,
        "energy": 93.283193,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.916666,
          18.790909,
          17.44,
          16.894409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.0,
        "volume": 154615,
        "typical_volume": 152224.1,
        "trend": 16.495,
        "fair_value": 11.399423,
        "relative_strength": 16.409744,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.467297,
        "energy": 85.76304,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.01,
          19.231818,
          17.765238,
          17.130753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.5,
        "volume": 138998,
        "typical_volume": 150169.35,
        "trend": 16.725,
        "fair_value": 11.500577,
        "relative_strength": 28.137217,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.220044,
        "energy": 88.280531,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.733333,
          20.070909,
          18.309762,
          17.518172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.1,
        "volume": 201431,
        "typical_volume": 151658.3,
        "trend": 16.938333,
        "fair_value": 11.592885,
        "relative_strength": 22.508665,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.34838,
        "energy": 66.078003,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.913333,
          20.708182,
          18.78,
          17.864946
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}