{ "ticker": { "uuid": "567aebbe-884b-42f0-8875-688fc65961d6", "symbol": "SOMATEX", "name": "Soma Textiles & Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.441, "architecture_energy": 20.25, "architecture_maturity": 22.986, "architecture_confidence": 82.612, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.57, "rotation_up": 22.88, "upward_expansion": 11.64, "deceleration": 50.52, "rotation_down": 46.2, "downward_expansion": 68.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.103021, 99.956731, 101.147241, 101.775831 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 94.860001, "trend_reference": 104.099202, "distance_from_trend": -0.088754, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 59.268949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.600501, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.891397, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.160605, "excess_performance": -0.116896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088754, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073834, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.600501, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.607336, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078914, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.370997, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.160605, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.840803, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52033, "relative_activity": 0.765753, "balance": 0.840803, "dry_up": 0.903497, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107005, "annualized_volatility": 0.626773, "from_high_reference": -0.411721, "from_low_reference": 0.526307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.099202, "fair_value_reference": 59.268949, "structural_low": 84.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.02224, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.016433, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.320312, "worst_return": -0.16, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.014925, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.030318, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.622449, "worst_return": -0.128889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.413333, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.278439, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.110263, "worst_return": 0.126866, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": -24.002237, "energy": 10.826994, "activity_lines": [ 103.441873, 101.510333, 101.967185, 103.334106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 101.059998, "volume": 30319, "typical_volume": 65654.05, "trend": 106.415202, "fair_value": 58.32036, "relative_strength": 1.83666, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.120785, "energy": 16.226105, "activity_lines": [ 103.575266, 101.442768, 101.941537, 102.926631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.82, "volume": 62985, "typical_volume": 66840.1, "trend": 105.102202, "fair_value": 58.805744, "relative_strength": -3.093386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.918942, "energy": 20.771847, "activity_lines": [ 102.651867, 101.044658, 101.72927, 102.436618 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.860001, "volume": 52033, "typical_volume": 67950.15, "trend": 104.099202, "fair_value": 59.268949, "relative_strength": -7.891397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.440886, "energy": 20.249766, "activity_lines": [ 100.103021, 99.956731, 101.147241, 101.775831 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }