{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "56874b7e-7771-4f55-8f19-f7f33996dd93",
    "symbol": "ADN1",
    "name": "adesso SE",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 66.79,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 1.022,
    "architecture_energy": 16.206,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 47.792,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.34,
        "rotation_up": 42.41,
        "upward_expansion": 26.84,
        "deceleration": 41.28,
        "rotation_down": 14.95,
        "downward_expansion": 49.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        57.74,
        55.263636,
        55.469974,
        56.689492
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 62.5,
    "trend_reference": 60.304442,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036408,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 84.577545,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.261033,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -21.184499,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.120569,
    "excess_performance": -0.185208,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036408,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.164193,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.261033,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090348,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211845,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0784,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120569,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.658762,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34621,
      "relative_activity": 0.591743,
      "balance": 1.658762,
      "dry_up": 0.902702,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08085,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.443296,
      "from_high_reference": -0.392332,
      "from_low_reference": 0.328374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.304442,
      "fair_value_reference": 84.577545,
      "structural_low": 47.049999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.022034,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017005,
        "regime_survival": 0.866667,
        "best_return": 0.332016,
        "worst_return": -0.257303,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.021277,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
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        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.220966,
        "worst_return": -0.211188,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.08976,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.227971,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.251947,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 61917.95,
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        "energy": 44.699693,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.599998,
        "volume": 53936,
        "typical_volume": 60575.85,
        "trend": 62.163971,
        "fair_value": 85.108983,
        "relative_strength": -31.244955,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -46.05796,
        "energy": 32.303364,
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          52.896667,
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          54.573719,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.3,
        "volume": 66616,
        "typical_volume": 60874.6,
        "trend": 61.228365,
        "fair_value": 84.812359,
        "relative_strength": -24.911536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.916258,
        "energy": 14.436809,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.92,
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          54.815417,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 62.5,
        "volume": 34621,
        "typical_volume": 58506.85,
        "trend": 60.304442,
        "fair_value": 84.577545,
        "relative_strength": -21.184499,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.021984,
        "energy": 16.206425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}