{ "ticker": { "uuid": "56a21b01-21c1-450b-b91a-6228444bf5e5", "symbol": "002950", "name": "Allmed Medical Products Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.382, "architecture_energy": 44.949, "architecture_maturity": 45.729, "architecture_confidence": 95.287, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.02, "rotation_up": 27.09, "upward_expansion": 7.29, "deceleration": 52.71, "rotation_down": 44.81, "downward_expansion": 78.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.094667, 9.112243, 9.89737, 10.424045 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.43, "trend_reference": 10.950144, "distance_from_trend": -0.138824, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.273319, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016896, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.373909, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.184256, "excess_performance": -0.191656, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138824, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06733, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016896, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473455, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153739, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235012, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.184256, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.572993, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30626580, "relative_activity": 0.493879, "balance": 0.572993, "dry_up": 0.681073, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105525, "annualized_volatility": 0.475931, "from_high_reference": -0.367114, "from_low_reference": 0.121284 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.950144, "fair_value_reference": 9.273319, "structural_low": 8.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.000812, "positive_rate": 0.482759, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": 0.004971, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.170365, "worst_return": -0.10425, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.002277, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027399, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.363293, "worst_return": -0.305583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.032094, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.072856, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.468192, "worst_return": -0.153771, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 66803858.8, "trend": 11.164477, "fair_value": 9.29664, "relative_strength": -16.719536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.308653, "energy": 56.686607, "activity_lines": [ 9.095746, 9.286787, 10.441813, 10.81504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.52, "volume": 41846516, "typical_volume": 67441785.25, "trend": 11.066144, "fair_value": 9.286081, "relative_strength": -21.233696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.967723, "energy": 67.323675, "activity_lines": [ 8.868, 9.086064, 10.198745, 10.644429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.22, "volume": 42305577, "typical_volume": 67411780.9, "trend": 10.99981, "fair_value": 9.279376, "relative_strength": -13.210582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.985915, "energy": 56.845092, "activity_lines": [ 8.950667, 9.066778, 10.033105, 10.525323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.43, "volume": 30626580, "typical_volume": 62012336.5, "trend": 10.950144, "fair_value": 9.273319, "relative_strength": -15.373909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.382265, "energy": 44.948971, "activity_lines": [ 9.094667, 9.112243, 9.89737, 10.424045 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }