{ "ticker": { "uuid": "56a5be76-c8a3-4557-94a9-e3ba31105ae4", "symbol": "HERC", "name": "Hercules Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 91.156, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 36.669, "architecture_energy": 45.425, "architecture_maturity": 38.264, "architecture_confidence": 81.55, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.73, "rotation_up": 69.79, "upward_expansion": 39.3, "deceleration": 44.5, "rotation_down": 14.01, "downward_expansion": 23.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.392333, 0.346909, 0.332631, 0.351435 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.42, "trend_reference": 0.3895, "distance_from_trend": 0.078306, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.381807, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100031, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.397504, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.188406, "excess_performance": -0.239641, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078306, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103636, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100031, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191555, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033975, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.213471, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188406, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.559891, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 579684, "relative_activity": 1.109499, "balance": 1.559891, "dry_up": 1.557433, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114007, "annualized_volatility": 0.747193, "from_high_reference": -0.288136, "from_low_reference": 0.826087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.3895, "fair_value_reference": 0.381807, "structural_low": 0.23, "invalidation": "A renewed 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"direction": -61.525847, "energy": 56.493479, "activity_lines": [ 0.286, 0.286636, 0.310381, 0.348532 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.4, "volume": 1256824, "typical_volume": 478828.8, "trend": 0.3985, "fair_value": 0.379844, "relative_strength": -7.269425, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.36921, "energy": 20.615531, "activity_lines": [ 0.328, 0.305227, 0.316202, 0.348392 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.42, "volume": 646085, "typical_volume": 502066.5, "trend": 0.394333, "fair_value": 0.380826, "relative_strength": -3.434661, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 18.884731, "energy": 33.304365, "activity_lines": [ 0.366333, 0.326455, 0.32431, 0.34978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.42, "volume": 579684, "typical_volume": 522473.8, "trend": 0.3895, "fair_value": 0.381807, "relative_strength": -3.397504, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.668722, "energy": 45.425378, "activity_lines": [ 0.392333, 0.346909, 0.332631, 0.351435 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }