{ "ticker": { "uuid": "56a9a8aa-e5d9-40c5-92f2-742eff840bf4", "symbol": "000564", "name": "Ccoop Group Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.173, "architecture_energy": 53.657, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.457, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.34, "rotation_up": 28.51, "upward_expansion": 9.28, "deceleration": 60.86, "rotation_down": 50.23, "downward_expansion": 82.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.378667, 1.384545, 1.493, 1.629871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.41, "trend_reference": 1.844, "distance_from_trend": -0.235358, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.106282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.330574, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.343701, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.419753, "excess_performance": -0.427153, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.235358, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176295, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.330574, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188454, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.373437, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021998, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.419753, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.573295, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1047427554, "relative_activity": 0.999268, "balance": 0.573295, "dry_up": 1.100103, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104746, "annualized_volatility": 0.32217, "from_high_reference": -0.553797, "from_low_reference": 0.101562 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.844, "fair_value_reference": 2.106282, "structural_low": 1.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.027778, "positive_rate": 0.217391, "directional_follow_through": 0.695652, "median_excess_return": -0.043388, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.329193, "worst_return": -0.218391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.008403, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.079825, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.970874, "worst_return": -0.265766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.218487, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.280237, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.54023, "worst_return": -0.188976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"down", "direction": -72.974496, "energy": 67.237754, "activity_lines": [ 1.339333, 1.399818, 1.538143, 1.692366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.42, "volume": 1182017718, "typical_volume": 1050636165.05, "trend": 1.880333, "fair_value": 2.104615, "relative_strength": -34.378723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.353051, "energy": 60.494135, "activity_lines": [ 1.362667, 1.391091, 1.514238, 1.660215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.41, "volume": 1047427554, "typical_volume": 1048194361.6, "trend": 1.844, "fair_value": 2.106282, "relative_strength": -37.343701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.173294, "energy": 53.656823, "activity_lines": [ 1.378667, 1.384545, 1.493, 1.629871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }