{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "56b546c7-31fb-4b0e-8b60-6a40821e2add",
    "symbol": "BSTP",
    "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST BUFFER STEP UP STRATEGY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 60.86,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.751,
    "architecture_energy": 63.629,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.543,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.273,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.82,
        "rotation_up": 60.61,
        "upward_expansion": 83.26,
        "deceleration": 56.34,
        "rotation_down": 24.32,
        "downward_expansion": 9.93
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      "activity_lines": [
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        38.649243
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 40.2175,
    "trend_reference": 38.114057,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055188,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.214236,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.210851,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.15879,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072198,
    "excess_performance": -0.053427,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055188,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021416,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210851,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003861,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041588,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003919,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072198,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.78343,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7690,
      "relative_activity": 0.358052,
      "balance": 2.78343,
      "dry_up": 0.459404,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013765,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.089545,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.145798
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 33.214236,
      "structural_low": 35.22,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
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        "positive_rate": 0.703704,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.703704,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004561,
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        "worst_return": -0.051354,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.026369,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 27037.75,
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        "fair_value": 32.095566,
        "relative_strength": -3.758203,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 28426.2,
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        "relative_strength": -4.548799,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 29168.25,
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        "fair_value": 32.347744,
        "relative_strength": -4.581707,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 9504,
        "typical_volume": 28444.6,
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        "fair_value": 32.431829,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 32.511347,
        "relative_strength": -3.874683,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 73.350044,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 39.0137,
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        "typical_volume": 28620.1,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 32.744853,
        "relative_strength": -2.728032,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 47.600518,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 24917.45,
        "trend": 37.725613,
        "fair_value": 32.824426,
        "relative_strength": -3.525949,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 50.994384,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 24945.1,
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        "fair_value": 32.903115,
        "relative_strength": -3.836516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.753611,
        "energy": 63.553544,
        "activity_lines": [
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          38.234958
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 39.2858,
        "volume": 12980,
        "typical_volume": 23963.65,
        "trend": 37.89007,
        "fair_value": 32.978626,
        "relative_strength": -2.963591,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.809944,
        "energy": 57.992993,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.288187,
          39.200965,
          38.757987,
          38.329894
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.1068,
        "volume": 4484,
        "typical_volume": 21950.95,
        "trend": 37.948003,
        "fair_value": 33.051862,
        "relative_strength": -2.734437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.343516,
        "energy": 53.149031,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.245967,
          39.193949,
          38.849923,
          38.408393
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.4895,
        "volume": 14313,
        "typical_volume": 21759.25,
        "trend": 38.025823,
        "fair_value": 33.130569,
        "relative_strength": -2.725194,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.202344,
        "energy": 52.583358,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.34322,
          39.252027,
          38.967252,
          38.507844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.2175,
        "volume": 7690,
        "typical_volume": 21477.3,
        "trend": 38.114057,
        "fair_value": 33.214236,
        "relative_strength": -4.15879,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.750663,
        "energy": 63.628766,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.635173,
          39.435631,
          39.139227,
          38.649243
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}