{ "ticker": { "uuid": "56c67007-cebb-437b-a7c3-3a92b9957b31", "symbol": "FPXU", "name": "First Trust US Equity Opportunities UCITS ETF Class A Accumulation", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 62.58, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.497, "architecture_energy": 25.63, "architecture_maturity": 61.105, "architecture_confidence": 91.322, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.55, "rotation_up": 18.25, "upward_expansion": 49.05, "deceleration": 85.17, "rotation_down": 45.04, "downward_expansion": 29.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.984666, 69.80309, 69.899381, 68.297849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 67.919998, "trend_reference": 66.179, "distance_from_trend": 0.026307, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.316506, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.405731, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.014043, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.128614, "excess_performance": 0.075303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026307, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052532, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.405731, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129327, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.00014, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156641, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.128614, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.801086, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3218, "relative_activity": 0.682445, "balance": 1.801086, "dry_up": 0.737795, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041395, "annualized_volatility": 0.19113, "from_high_reference": -0.090154, "from_low_reference": 0.279337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.179, "fair_value_reference": 48.316506, "structural_low": 58.0, "invalidation": "A 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"start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076719, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006258, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.239821, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.03405, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.107283, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.12847, "active": false 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67.955505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 69.059998, "volume": 4163, "typical_volume": 4675.55, "trend": 65.884, "fair_value": 47.885737, "relative_strength": 6.039689, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.528542, "energy": 26.559703, "activity_lines": [ 70.498665, 71.448181, 70.125952, 68.173462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.900002, "volume": 2597, "typical_volume": 4563.35, "trend": 66.008, "fair_value": 48.089231, "relative_strength": -0.54799, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.495644, "energy": 21.86958, "activity_lines": [ 68.645999, 70.398363, 69.929809, 68.174494 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.919998, "volume": 3218, "typical_volume": 4715.4, "trend": 66.179, "fair_value": 48.316506, "relative_strength": -0.014043, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.497485, "energy": 25.630165, "activity_lines": [ 67.984666, 69.80309, 69.899381, 68.297849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }