{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "56d715ce-4bbe-44f4-a735-cbce745a306e",
    "symbol": "4575",
    "name": "Chumpower Machinery Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 89.341,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -20.171,
    "architecture_energy": 41.027,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.814,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.486,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.17,
        "rotation_up": 15.11,
        "upward_expansion": 23.12,
        "deceleration": 51.61,
        "rotation_down": 60.95,
        "downward_expansion": 50.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.086667,
        23.796364,
        25.00039,
        24.404778
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 24.1,
    "trend_reference": 23.281025,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.035178,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.64131,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.167562,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.387399,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.210309,
    "excess_performance": -0.231063,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035178,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075088,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167562,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124568,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213874,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042544,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210309,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.573565,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47097,
      "relative_activity": 0.098543,
      "balance": 0.573565,
      "dry_up": 0.193275,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.098947,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.469027,
      "from_high_reference": -0.389698,
      "from_low_reference": 0.274818
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.281025,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.64131,
      "structural_low": 18.904659,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.036115,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.002331,
        "worst_return": -0.074561,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.057991,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003893,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.046053,
        "worst_return": -0.06993,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.044013,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.18872,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.079254,
        "worst_return": 0.008772,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.085463,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050697,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.138172,
        "worst_return": 0.032755,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030702,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.040724,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.064655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.059952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.323107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.140927,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-14",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 18.870989,
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        "typical_volume": 50538.85,
        "trend": 19.073602,
        "fair_value": 18.42648,
        "relative_strength": -5.437434,
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 499903.25,
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        "fair_value": 20.571925,
        "relative_strength": -22.683136,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 16.991026,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 70552,
        "typical_volume": 499114.75,
        "trend": 22.947992,
        "fair_value": 20.584447,
        "relative_strength": -25.115095,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -7.744366,
        "energy": 24.015188,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.843333,
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          25.480624,
          24.401019
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.85,
        "volume": 88064,
        "typical_volume": 494871.95,
        "trend": 23.047515,
        "fair_value": 20.603336,
        "relative_strength": -22.542031,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -5.711062,
        "energy": 31.71375,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.3,
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          25.314624,
          24.394697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.25,
        "volume": 163777,
        "typical_volume": 500158.5,
        "trend": 23.146232,
        "fair_value": 20.613878,
        "relative_strength": -25.604859,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.037593,
        "energy": 49.530192,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.763333,
          23.963636,
          25.075435,
          24.343244
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 24.1,
        "volume": 47097,
        "typical_volume": 477932.65,
        "trend": 23.281025,
        "fair_value": 20.64131,
        "relative_strength": -21.387399,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.171355,
        "energy": 41.027165,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.086667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}