{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "56ea1738-3f7e-4fad-99a8-d9ad9181bced",
    "symbol": "DSGX",
    "name": "Descartes Systems Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 38.685,
    "architecture_energy": 38.005,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.17,
    "architecture_confidence": 44.412,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.92,
        "rotation_up": 58.0,
        "upward_expansion": 56.51,
        "deceleration": 23.66,
        "rotation_down": 23.32,
        "downward_expansion": 17.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        74.894667,
        73.429182,
        72.638024,
        72.113366
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 79.57,
    "trend_reference": 72.196833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.102126,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 91.602019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131351,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.776446,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.191524,
    "excess_performance": 0.004071,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102126,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060061,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131351,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082741,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147764,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185553,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.191524,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.897164,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1913478,
      "relative_activity": 0.73981,
      "balance": 1.897164,
      "dry_up": 0.928628,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083028,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.457539,
      "from_high_reference": -0.27,
      "from_low_reference": 0.271899
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 72.196833,
      "fair_value_reference": 91.602019,
      "structural_low": 62.56,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.020778,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01455,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.101441,
        "worst_return": -0.125991,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.057507,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022911,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.122958,
        "worst_return": -0.027423,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.080463,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.093916,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.223225,
        "worst_return": -0.103507,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.16586,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086879,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.319929,
        "worst_return": -0.405776,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032659,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.10191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.066583,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.10853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050183,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012775,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.118078,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.33261,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116145,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 67.7,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 3138218.05,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 19.549938,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -28.723239,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 91.695673,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2885045.15,
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        "fair_value": 91.647981,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2227880,
        "typical_volume": 2771601.0,
        "trend": 73.500667,
        "fair_value": 91.61375,
        "relative_strength": -20.233769,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.551019,
        "energy": 2.878689,
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          72.390333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 68.18,
        "volume": 2370881,
        "typical_volume": 2717212.5,
        "trend": 72.792167,
        "fair_value": 91.556699,
        "relative_strength": -24.486075,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.418476,
        "energy": 14.153055,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.324667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 75.16,
        "volume": 3095150,
        "typical_volume": 2633827.45,
        "trend": 72.459833,
        "fair_value": 91.560609,
        "relative_strength": -16.233008,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.80523,
        "energy": 12.970043,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.529,
          72.096909,
          71.878667,
          71.654645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 79.57,
        "volume": 1913478,
        "typical_volume": 2586445.9,
        "trend": 72.196833,
        "fair_value": 91.602019,
        "relative_strength": -14.776446,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.684504,
        "energy": 38.005176,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.894667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}