{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5711cb90-5b0a-41b5-9999-c39b6f7d9297", "symbol": "000598", "name": "Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 48.427, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 22.536, "architecture_energy": 38.717, "architecture_maturity": 13.835, "architecture_confidence": 84.323, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.26, "rotation_up": 66.44, "upward_expansion": 42.67, "deceleration": 40.2, "rotation_down": 16.73, "downward_expansion": 20.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.150572, 6.908084, 6.815705, 6.836713 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.12, "trend_reference": 6.903545, "distance_from_trend": 0.031354, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.649153, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.070813, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.029154, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.027322, "excess_performance": -0.034722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031354, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016402, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.070813, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035734, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010292, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.220117, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027322, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.749929, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 128186128, "relative_activity": 1.191414, "balance": 1.749929, "dry_up": 1.458626, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04521, "annualized_volatility": 0.235276, "from_high_reference": -0.043011, "from_low_reference": 0.143186 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.903545, "fair_value_reference": 6.649153, "structural_low": 6.22821, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.013901, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.006043, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.047552, "worst_return": -0.027701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.032367, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.054163, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.063706, "worst_return": -0.050682, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.019378, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.140362, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.07324, "worst_return": -0.005848, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"trend": 6.899878, "fair_value": 6.623312, "relative_strength": 3.764058, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.89262, "energy": 13.847598, "activity_lines": [ 6.836256, 6.729042, 6.72429, 6.793171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.36, "volume": 137883852, "typical_volume": 108475254.4, "trend": 6.905212, "fair_value": 6.637215, "relative_strength": 7.21376, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.111208, "energy": 40.94483, "activity_lines": [ 7.070819, 6.847472, 6.781783, 6.822856 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.12, "volume": 128186128, "typical_volume": 107591598.95, "trend": 6.903545, "fair_value": 6.649153, "relative_strength": -1.029154, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.536322, "energy": 38.71657, "activity_lines": [ 7.150572, 6.908084, 6.815705, 6.836713 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }