{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5718d9b1-5ac5-4db6-8303-cf3ef113ab7d", "symbol": "3434", "name": "ACULA Technology Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 56.309, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 18.738, "architecture_energy": 11.514, "architecture_maturity": 23.912, "architecture_confidence": 60.116, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.39, "rotation_up": 40.94, "upward_expansion": 43.88, "deceleration": 38.44, "rotation_down": 27.01, "downward_expansion": 9.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.273333, 30.006364, 29.955, 29.843763 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 30.700001, "trend_reference": 29.983333, "distance_from_trend": 0.023902, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.558139, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.004642, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.720257, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.016556, "excess_performance": -0.424816, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023902, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016617, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.004642, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057061, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.317203, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16159, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.016556, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.402574, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 638310, "relative_activity": 0.632408, "balance": 1.402574, "dry_up": 0.672247, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090955, "annualized_volatility": 0.341809, "from_high_reference": -0.284616, "from_low_reference": 0.110307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.983333, "fair_value_reference": 30.558139, "structural_low": 27.65, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.011077, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.008854, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.261993, "worst_return": -0.235294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.141509, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.052534, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.1202, "worst_return": -0.080883, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.197578, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.14086, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.388982, "worst_return": 0.077206, 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831154, "typical_volume": 980214.55, "trend": 30.021667, "fair_value": 30.373717, "relative_strength": -36.55749, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.855694, "energy": 19.865682, "activity_lines": [ 29.463333, 29.88, 29.705952, 29.776344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.549999, "volume": 509814, "typical_volume": 974514.55, "trend": 29.973333, "fair_value": 30.414984, "relative_strength": -34.686643, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.379418, "energy": 14.822431, "activity_lines": [ 29.456666, 29.817273, 29.706667, 29.745914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.9, "volume": 1131749, "typical_volume": 998335.2, "trend": 29.94, "fair_value": 30.46096, "relative_strength": -31.970022, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.752623, "energy": 10.131652, "activity_lines": [ 29.59, 29.796363, 29.742619, 29.741183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.799999, "volume": 434213, "typical_volume": 1000649.05, "trend": 29.97, "fair_value": 30.507282, "relative_strength": -30.284921, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.848337, "energy": 1.648395, "activity_lines": [ 29.963333, 29.922727, 29.857143, 29.796667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.700001, "volume": 638310, "typical_volume": 1009332.9, "trend": 29.983333, "fair_value": 30.558139, "relative_strength": -31.720257, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.738262, "energy": 11.514375, "activity_lines": [ 30.273333, 30.006364, 29.955, 29.843763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }