{ "ticker": { "uuid": "571aa7c7-504a-4f77-b16a-d21eb4121291", "symbol": "301613", "name": "Alnera Aluminium Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.782, "architecture_energy": 44.152, "architecture_maturity": 58.713, "architecture_confidence": 84.104, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.48, "rotation_up": 23.34, "upward_expansion": 6.06, "deceleration": 59.43, "rotation_down": 49.59, "downward_expansion": 77.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.451333, 38.678, 40.58178, 42.514359 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 40.389999, "trend_reference": 45.37841, "distance_from_trend": -0.109929, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.393342, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.147771, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.793183, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.227725, "excess_performance": -0.235124, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067824, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.147771, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157044, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197932, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038401, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227725, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.920858, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10138142, "relative_activity": 1.623378, "balance": 0.920858, "dry_up": 1.221831, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090551, "annualized_volatility": 0.393151, "from_high_reference": -0.368906, "from_low_reference": 0.123192 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.37841, "fair_value_reference": 47.393342, "structural_low": 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44.030438 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.450001, "volume": 8076794, "typical_volume": 6498635.3, "trend": 46.132077, "fair_value": 47.584294, "relative_strength": -24.632892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.247404, "energy": 50.859668, "activity_lines": [ 38.252, 38.994734, 41.384897, 43.44839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.02, "volume": 4082450, "typical_volume": 6069809.4, "trend": 45.75541, "fair_value": 47.469465, "relative_strength": -23.479602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.651659, "energy": 51.867144, "activity_lines": [ 37.811333, 38.458514, 40.791695, 42.860514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.389999, "volume": 10138142, "typical_volume": 6245091.15, "trend": 45.37841, "fair_value": 47.393342, "relative_strength": -19.793183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.782224, "energy": 44.152287, "activity_lines": [ 38.451333, 38.678, 40.58178, 42.514359 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }