{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "57319d90-943e-4dee-ab66-25ab9ddf4f1b",
    "symbol": "CBU",
    "name": "Community Bank System Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.518,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 41.063,
    "architecture_energy": 25.913,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.574,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.582,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.02,
        "rotation_up": 39.68,
        "upward_expansion": 63.84,
        "deceleration": 64.24,
        "rotation_down": 22.96,
        "downward_expansion": 13.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.979333,
        66.214954,
        65.060848,
        63.873462
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 64.85,
    "trend_reference": 62.771016,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.03312,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 53.574574,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.210462,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.065532,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.008015,
    "excess_performance": -0.13364,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03312,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047511,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210462,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013201,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040655,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020452,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008015,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.191687,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1210606,
      "relative_activity": 0.9112,
      "balance": 1.191687,
      "dry_up": 1.06846,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059013,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.236959,
      "from_high_reference": -0.088033,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241555
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 62.771016,
      "fair_value_reference": 53.574574,
      "structural_low": 54.497884,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.003409,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025353,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.126769,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.025611,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.121897,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 1.514604,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1344708.7,
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        "fair_value": 53.229646,
        "relative_strength": 6.270622,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 73.380754,
        "energy": 73.227929,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1192592,
        "typical_volume": 1350821.15,
        "trend": 62.36745,
        "fair_value": 53.356156,
        "relative_strength": 4.225842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 60.635675,
        "energy": 60.990247,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.81,
        "volume": 1496663,
        "typical_volume": 1364169.8,
        "trend": 62.620755,
        "fair_value": 53.459678,
        "relative_strength": -0.753365,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.758752,
        "energy": 37.529191,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.85,
        "volume": 1210606,
        "typical_volume": 1328584.6,
        "trend": 62.771016,
        "fair_value": 53.574574,
        "relative_strength": -4.065532,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.063242,
        "energy": 25.913294,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}