{ "ticker": { "uuid": "573e57ac-0cde-44a4-9b77-2a63670acb57", "symbol": "VSGX", "name": "VANGUARD ESG INTERNATIONAL STOCK ETF ETF SHARES", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.748, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.336, "architecture_energy": 25.067, "architecture_maturity": 43.821, "architecture_confidence": 83.472, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.35, "rotation_up": 33.45, "upward_expansion": 56.96, "deceleration": 87.48, "rotation_down": 25.54, "downward_expansion": 18.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 80.781333, 80.880894, 80.230028, 78.839145 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 82.79, "trend_reference": 77.318575, "distance_from_trend": 0.070765, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.640885, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.365251, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.60148, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.091404, "excess_performance": -0.034221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070765, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050536, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.365251, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018151, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006015, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029173, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091404, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.937927, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 762425, "relative_activity": 0.853726, "balance": 0.937927, "dry_up": 0.831939, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040907, "annualized_volatility": 0.213907, "from_high_reference": -0.019944, "from_low_reference": 0.286838 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.318575, "fair_value_reference": 60.640885, "structural_low": 68.3508, "invalidation": "A 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81.138461, 79.186363, 77.877737 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 79.28, "volume": 1023884, "typical_volume": 1006692.1, "trend": 76.448156, "fair_value": 60.033382, "relative_strength": 0.48991, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.865392, "energy": 29.613354, "activity_lines": [ 80.839333, 80.888882, 79.38116, 78.080436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 79.0, "volume": 542670, "typical_volume": 963551.55, "trend": 76.709374, "fair_value": 60.217669, "relative_strength": 0.642286, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.103813, "energy": 22.080178, "activity_lines": [ 80.051333, 80.604846, 79.544066, 78.245071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.12, "volume": 642892, "typical_volume": 921362.65, "trend": 76.992479, "fair_value": 60.419348, "relative_strength": 0.86038, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.076759, "energy": 17.587288, "activity_lines": [ 79.935333, 80.505234, 79.782098, 78.465111 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 82.79, "volume": 762425, "typical_volume": 893056.05, "trend": 77.318575, "fair_value": 60.640885, "relative_strength": 0.60148, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.335698, "energy": 25.066777, "activity_lines": [ 80.781333, 80.880894, 80.230028, 78.839145 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }