{ "ticker": { "uuid": "573e6944-346a-4e17-ab46-2a24fba75045", "symbol": "U06", "name": "Singapore Land Group Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.71, "architecture_energy": 19.046, "architecture_maturity": 54.237, "architecture_confidence": 85.86, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.39, "rotation_up": 29.22, "upward_expansion": 17.58, "deceleration": 44.07, "rotation_down": 26.42, "downward_expansion": 62.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.348, 3.304545, 3.38851, 3.435763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.47, "trend_reference": 3.483934, "distance_from_trend": -0.004, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.341943, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.481676, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.047541, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.085554, "excess_performance": -0.240389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020205, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.481676, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198923, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.120475, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245456, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085554, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.733019, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 418900, "relative_activity": 1.05523, "balance": 0.733019, "dry_up": 0.950375, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043449, "annualized_volatility": 0.218531, "from_high_reference": -0.106495, "from_low_reference": 0.19033 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.483934, "fair_value_reference": 2.341943, "structural_low": 3.13, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.005314, "positive_rate": 0.321429, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.014685, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.0625, "worst_return": -0.076923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.032222, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.034893, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.039773, "worst_return": -0.081633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068376, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.109478, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": -0.005681, "worst_return": -0.113301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -14.935508, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.754959, "energy": 72.885774, "activity_lines": [ 3.236667, 3.326182, 3.442801, 3.471863 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.16, "volume": 377600, "typical_volume": 551020.0, "trend": 3.45919, "fair_value": 2.314662, "relative_strength": -17.549914, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.803528, "energy": 86.346261, "activity_lines": [ 3.206, 3.279636, 3.411635, 3.452577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.37, "volume": 397700, "typical_volume": 481455.0, "trend": 3.468093, "fair_value": 2.323672, "relative_strength": -13.240097, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.964837, "energy": 54.557364, "activity_lines": [ 3.255333, 3.281818, 3.402786, 3.446823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.3, "volume": 314900, "typical_volume": 425785.0, "trend": 3.473345, "fair_value": 2.332232, "relative_strength": -15.55087, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.686552, "energy": 36.799455, "activity_lines": [ 3.276667, 3.275455, 3.387458, 3.435978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.47, "volume": 418900, "typical_volume": 396975.0, "trend": 3.483934, "fair_value": 2.341943, "relative_strength": -12.047541, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.709899, "energy": 19.046397, "activity_lines": [ 3.348, 3.304545, 3.38851, 3.435763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }