{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "573eded3-edbc-474a-bd02-49cf3c78c5ed",
    "symbol": "S1HW34",
    "name": "The Sherwin-Williams Company",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 69.77,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 38.905,
    "architecture_energy": 26.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.222,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.552,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.03,
        "rotation_up": 51.84,
        "upward_expansion": 40.47,
        "deceleration": 41.99,
        "rotation_down": 23.82,
        "downward_expansion": 17.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        175.222665,
        173.502546,
        168.722661,
        168.854911
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 188.869995,
    "trend_reference": 171.54436,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.100998,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 176.307471,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.071253,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.982652,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.002484,
    "excess_performance": 0.059532,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100998,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017463,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071253,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167663,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019827,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304877,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002484,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.303487,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2150,
      "relative_activity": 3.318413,
      "balance": 2.303487,
      "dry_up": 2.045069,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054127,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.356955,
      "from_high_reference": -0.069314,
      "from_low_reference": 0.281778
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 171.54436,
      "fair_value_reference": 176.307471,
      "structural_low": 147.350006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.054664,
        "positive_rate": 0.214286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.214286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064688,
        "regime_survival": 0.214286,
        "best_return": 0.111923,
        "worst_return": -0.105911,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.074584,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123488,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.167685,
        "worst_return": -0.232529,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.082522,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.197761,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.301508,
        "worst_return": -0.116984,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.084017,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.29925,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.70881,
        "worst_return": -0.133306,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
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        "return": -0.076407,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.042198,
        "active": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.049981,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.082846,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "activity_lines": [
          169.870877,
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          174.783522,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 159.486176,
        "volume": 1954,
        "typical_volume": 978.6,
        "trend": 177.758799,
        "fair_value": 172.188374,
        "relative_strength": -28.77325,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 43.607225,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 155.843124,
        "volume": 1711,
        "typical_volume": 998.3,
        "trend": 176.974024,
        "fair_value": 172.470987,
        "relative_strength": -28.505038,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 53.534941,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 153.767075,
        "volume": 41,
        "typical_volume": 996.9,
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        "fair_value": 172.73279,
        "relative_strength": -26.020178,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.828088,
        "energy": 77.773636,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.053671,
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          168.975947,
          172.506582
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 165.0,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 997.8,
        "trend": 175.784435,
        "fair_value": 173.078991,
        "relative_strength": -19.46921,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.090121,
        "energy": 66.100715,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 153.300003,
        "volume": 27,
        "typical_volume": 908.85,
        "trend": 174.593195,
        "fair_value": 173.33195,
        "relative_strength": -23.396253,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.972123,
        "energy": 82.491372,
        "activity_lines": [
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          170.334529
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 156.119995,
        "volume": 1502,
        "typical_volume": 979.05,
        "trend": 173.785479,
        "fair_value": 173.592733,
        "relative_strength": -19.041777,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.800916,
        "energy": 70.003645,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.811817,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 159.119995,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 976.95,
        "trend": 173.216344,
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        "relative_strength": -17.925404,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 172.665413,
        "fair_value": 174.168297,
        "relative_strength": -13.425086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 40.947478,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 177.710007,
        "volume": 80,
        "typical_volume": 865.3,
        "trend": 172.485072,
        "fair_value": 174.509229,
        "relative_strength": -8.402737,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.651217,
        "energy": 14.669658,
        "activity_lines": [
          165.923336,
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          167.949985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 184.100006,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 706.0,
        "trend": 172.660574,
        "fair_value": 174.904082,
        "relative_strength": -5.160272,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.536926,
        "energy": 41.184516,
        "activity_lines": [
          173.250004,
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          165.543251,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 171.050003,
        "volume": 28,
        "typical_volume": 704.7,
        "trend": 172.534617,
        "fair_value": 175.195906,
        "relative_strength": -13.01332,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.751967,
        "energy": 35.665528,
        "activity_lines": [
          174.173338,
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          165.906212,
          168.595428
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 171.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 695.8,
        "trend": 172.346207,
        "fair_value": 175.481943,
        "relative_strength": -10.284535,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.324248,
        "energy": 36.994518,
        "activity_lines": [
          174.101338,
          169.392131,
          166.341267,
          168.499646
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 157.720001,
        "volume": 2026,
        "typical_volume": 795.6,
        "trend": 171.630084,
        "fair_value": 175.659572,
        "relative_strength": -16.703833,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.96037,
        "energy": 21.258771,
        "activity_lines": [
          168.79067,
          167.967275,
          165.569145,
          167.55602
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 174.419998,
        "volume": 1124,
        "typical_volume": 794.2,
        "trend": 171.527101,
        "fair_value": 175.937459,
        "relative_strength": -9.212665,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.89618,
        "energy": 6.436855,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.488668,
          169.506911,
          166.476914,
          167.736015
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 188.869995,
        "volume": 2150,
        "typical_volume": 647.9,
        "trend": 171.54436,
        "fair_value": 176.307471,
        "relative_strength": 1.982652,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.905216,
        "energy": 26.467243,
        "activity_lines": [
          175.222665,
          173.502546,
          168.722661,
          168.854911
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}