{ "ticker": { "uuid": "574c39ed-004a-4bba-8c8b-572b6e992596", "symbol": "GLE", "name": "Global Engine Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.624, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.592, "architecture_energy": 17.131, "architecture_maturity": 48.209, "architecture_confidence": 35.314, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.11, "rotation_up": 19.3, "upward_expansion": 15.53, "deceleration": 57.52, "rotation_down": 49.25, "downward_expansion": 42.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.364653, 0.390318, 0.402432, 0.400564 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.3537, "trend_reference": 0.394142, "distance_from_trend": -0.102607, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.401564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.747639, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.926594, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.280594, "excess_performance": 0.09314, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102607, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031244, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.747639, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043522, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.369266, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207199, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.280594, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.09671, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1213085, "relative_activity": 0.053028, "balance": 5.09671, "dry_up": 0.043755, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.466192, "annualized_volatility": 0.929085, "from_high_reference": -0.874574, "from_low_reference": 0.414234 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.394142, "fair_value_reference": 1.401564, "structural_low": 0.2659, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.028669, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014694, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.256298, "worst_return": -0.092383, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.146617, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.10924, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.146617, "worst_return": 0.146617, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1.412256, "relative_strength": -38.597898, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.644579, "energy": 10.030042, "activity_lines": [ 0.37772, 0.401629, 0.40729, 0.403227 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3537, "volume": 1213085, "typical_volume": 22876410.7, "trend": 0.394142, "fair_value": 1.401564, "relative_strength": -36.926594, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.591778, "energy": 17.130581, "activity_lines": [ 0.364653, 0.390318, 0.402432, 0.400564 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }