{ "ticker": { "uuid": "575430c1-d464-430b-ae03-c03ac2c5701a", "symbol": "301067", "name": "Fullink Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.419, "architecture_energy": 68.58, "architecture_maturity": 16.114, "architecture_confidence": 84.224, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.82, "rotation_up": 11.26, "upward_expansion": 17.47, "deceleration": 34.34, "rotation_down": 71.82, "downward_expansion": 88.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.123334, 29.048182, 30.947667, 31.602989 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 27.66, "trend_reference": 32.596, "distance_from_trend": -0.15143, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.64589, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034416, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.84731, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.207677, "excess_performance": -0.215077, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15143, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043797, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.034416, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.262479, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208473, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028831, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.207677, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.696485, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16970883, "relative_activity": 1.141104, "balance": 0.696485, "dry_up": 1.421284, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.194477, "annualized_volatility": 0.574534, "from_high_reference": -0.408089, "from_low_reference": 0.391348 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.596, "fair_value_reference": 28.64589, "structural_low": 19.879999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.034248, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.014849, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.080844, "worst_return": -0.089817, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.103619, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.109396, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.122727, "worst_return": 0.001588, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.205399, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.216543, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.242359, "worst_return": 0.168439, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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68.933754, "energy": 57.342819, "activity_lines": [ 35.986667, 34.833818, 33.832428, 33.742516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.4, "volume": 47282596, "typical_volume": 12681649.35, "trend": 33.562, "fair_value": 28.551729, "relative_strength": -20.193203, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.2099, "energy": 4.896413, "activity_lines": [ 34.209334, 34.179273, 33.54719, 33.536086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.110001, "volume": 22201778, "typical_volume": 13411921.8, "trend": 33.345333, "fair_value": 28.580515, "relative_strength": -24.206134, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.367977, "energy": 34.215071, "activity_lines": [ 31.378667, 32.785818, 32.872429, 33.055312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.190001, "volume": 23968957, "typical_volume": 13970656.3, "trend": 33.089666, "fair_value": 28.600147, "relative_strength": -26.688688, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.098947, "energy": 56.279477, "activity_lines": [ 28.807334, 31.371091, 32.151667, 32.529161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.84, "volume": 21409622, "typical_volume": 14556840.65, "trend": 32.766, "fair_value": 28.610041, "relative_strength": -28.830776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.936952, "energy": 70.03617, "activity_lines": [ 26.470667, 29.803637, 31.346476, 31.932409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.66, "volume": 16970883, "typical_volume": 14872330.5, "trend": 32.596, "fair_value": 28.64589, "relative_strength": -20.84731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.418563, "energy": 68.57966, "activity_lines": [ 26.123334, 29.048182, 30.947667, 31.602989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }